About 30 journalists joined legendary hedge fund manager George Soros for lunch at the Sheraton Waldhuus Hotel, down the hill and across the train tracks from the main hub of
activity. Over a fine lunch (the translation of the menu doesn’t do it
justice: goat cheese rolls and air-dried meat, veal steak with
shallots, burned cream with passion fruit), Soros, a fierce critic of
the imbalances in the world’s financial system, largely resisted the
temptation to beat his chest and say “I told you so.” He had taken care
of that in a blistering Financial Times op-ed today, The worst market crisis in 60 years.
After laying out the flawed thinking in
lending and borrowing that led to the current crisis, Soros called for
financial authorities to act more aggressively. Then he turned
philosophical. Soros noted that in order to understand what is
happening, investors must understand the key point of his book: The Alchemy of Finance:
“financial markets don’t tend to equilibrium, and misconception plays a
significant role in human affairs.” And while mankind’s ability to
control nature has grown (think of nuclear power, the energy explosion
that created global warming), Soros argued that the ability to control
human nature and behavior hasn’t quite kept pace (think of nuclear
proliferation and the failure to halt global warming).
For the record, Soros is skeptical of the Federal Reserve’s ability to jolt the markets and the economy back to life with rate
cuts. “I question how far the Fed can go in lowering interest rates
given the reluctant of people to hold dollars. The ability of the Fed
to come to the rescue is constrained to an extent it wasn’t before.” He
said the U.S. has to lead by “being more interested in the system than
in its own self-interest.” And when it comes to politics, Soros is
fired up and ready to go. He’s backing Obama over Hillary Clinton,
“because I prefer more radical change,” though he wouldn’t be terribly
upset if Hillary Clinton were the next president.Soros has no relationship with the Obama campaign, however. “If he talked the way I talk, he would have no chance.”