Newsweek - National News, World News, Health, Technology, Entertainment and more... | Newsweek.com
SPONSORED BY
  • Depression Era Thrift Is Back In Style

    Stefan Theil | Jan 26, 2009 06:06 PM

    It's an attitude that would have made World War II–era Britons proud. The economic state of the world has produced a grim new frugality in England, the likes of which haven't been seen since the end of food rationing in 1954. December retail sales showed same-store declines of 3.3 percent in what the British Retail Consortium said was the worst shopping season since it began keeping records in 1983. Sales would have been even more dismal if stores hadn't offered discounts that were the steepest (some slashed prices by 90 percent) and earliest in British retail history, according to a survey by PriceWaterhouseCoopers. In the same month, Britons bought 21 percent fewer cars than in the corresponding period of 2007, slashed their purchases of table water and champagne, and cut back purchases of clothing for the 14th month out of the last 15.

    Among the few shops on High Street reporting increases: shoe menders, pawnbrokers and down-market discounters like the Aldi no-frills supermarket chain. The closing weeks of 2008 also saw the bankruptcies or financial collapse of no fewer than 10 big retail chains, from Woolworths to Zavvi, the former Virgin Megastores.

    Applications for allotment gardens—small plots of land where city dwellers can grow their own food for a small fee—doubled in 2008 in cities like Warwick. On Amazon's U.K. Web site, bestsellers include "The Thrift Book," "Food for Free" and "The Penguin Handbook of Keeping Poultry and Rabbits on Scraps." Quantcast The shift to thrift is of course natural in hard times, as consumers worry about their jobs and shut their wallets amid the deepening gloom. This time, however, the clampdown on spending appears to be more than a sharp but temporary downturn of the economic cycle. In Britain, the U.S. and other consumer-driven economies, including Spain and Ireland, it seems to herald a much broader shift: the end of a way of life based on freewheeling consumption fueled by easy credit and the wealth effect of ever-rising asset values. Already, once spendthrift Americans have hiked their personal saving rate from near zero, where it's hovered for several years, to almost 3 percent in November. Merrill Lynch chief economist David Rosenberg expects the rate will soon rise to 8 percent and beyond, levels last seen 20 years ago. Just like overleveraged and undercapitalized banks, Rosenberg says, private households are now repairing their own balance sheets by spending less, saving more and paying off their debt. And just as in the financial industry, this is beginning to look less and less like a quick fix—and increasingly like a long-term change of habits.

    Read the rest of this article here.

    More
  • Obama Faces a No-We-Can't Economy

    Daniel Gross | Jan 26, 2009 06:01 PM

    "EVERYTHING MUST GO!" blares a bright yellow sign at the Circuit City store on Broadway and 80th Street in Manhattan. The revolving doors whir with curious customers looking for bargains. As can be inferred from the huddles of dejected employees wearing bright-red Circuit City polos, this store will soon be closing, along with the other 566 outlets of the nation's second-largest electronics retailer, leaving 34,000 people unemployed. Circuit City must liquidate some $1 billion in merchandise by the end of March.

    There was a time, not so long ago, that a company like Circuit City would have stuck it out by filing for Chapter 11, which is sort of the corporate world's version of rehab. A Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing gives companies breathing room from creditors in order to regroup and relaunch. Circuit City started down this path in November, but in mid-January it decided that rehab was too tough and threw in the towel. The company's move signals an alarming trend: more firms are deciding to forgo the time-consuming work of restructuring their finances, and instead selling off the inventory and fixtures and folding their tents. Sharper Image, Linens 'n Things, retailer Steve & Barry's, the department store Mervyns. All filed for bankruptcy with the intent of reorganizing. And all have wound up liquidating. "The reason we're seeing liquidation rather than bankruptcy from so many retailers is because people are hopeless," says Dean Baker, codirector of the Center for Economic and Policy Research. "We're still looking at a very bad year in 2009 and probably most of 2010, so it's very difficult to be optimistic about reorganizing and coming out of it stronger."

    Read the rest of this story here.

    More
  • Advertisement
  • Why China Works

    Rana Foroohar | Jan 26, 2009 05:53 PM

    China is the only major economy that is likely to show significant growth this year, because it is the only one that routinely breaks every rule in the economic textbook. There is no truly free market in China, where the state doctors statistics, manipulates the stock markets, fixes prices in key industries, owns many strategic industries outright, and staffs key bank posts with Communist Party members and tells them to whom they should lend, and in what they should invest. In fact, the main reason China is not slowing as fast as the other big five economies is its capacity for what economists ridicule, in normal times, as state meddling: it limited foreign investment in the banking sector and didn't embrace the exotic financial innovations that are the melting core of the global credit crisis.

    Why does China's brand of command capitalism work? The question has long intrigued economists, who tend to cast the state as hopelessly stupid, the market as naturally brilliant. Now that the United States and Europe are moving toward state control—by nationalizing the banking and car industries, and imposing heavy new regulation on the financial industry—the question has a new urgency. China, the poorest and most chaotic big economy, looks like the one best positioned to navigate what may be the worst global downturn in seven decades.

    Go here to read the rest of this report.
    More
  • Myths of the Global Recession

    Barrett Sheridan | Jan 26, 2009 05:50 PM
    Remember "decoupling"? It was the notion that emerging economies had detached themselves from the developed world, and that Asian consumers could make up for falling demand in the rich world. An Indian steelmaker would not only fail to sneeze at the first sign of a cold in the United States, but might even hold the key to a cure. So much for that theory—emerging market stocks have plummeted 52 percent in the past year, even further than the S&P's 40 percent nose dive. Decoupling was a powerful myth, but only one of many in this global recession. The crisis is moving so fast, and in so many different directions at once, that the shelf life of conventional wisdom is shrinking exponentially. Just a few weeks back, analysts were saying the worst had passed for the financial sector; today Citigroup is imploding. Throughout 2008, forecasters predicted the demise of the dollar. Now it's the euro and sterling that are falling. What's behind these and other recession myths, and why haven't they come to pass? To find out, follow this link. More