Sharon Begley
|
Oct 30, 2007 04:15 AM
Ask your favorite 6-year-olds what doomed the last dinosaurs 65
million years ago, and unless they don’t know a Troodon from a
Triceratops they’ll tell you it was a killer asteroid. This idea, first
proposed in 1980 and widely adopted a decade later, has entered the
public consciousness like few others in science. Too bad it doesn’t
have nearly the credibility among geoscientists as it does in local
sandboxes and Hollywood: evidence keeps emerging that the asteroid was
framed.
Instead, a series of titanic volcanic eruptions in India may have
wiped out T. rex and his friends (and prey). That idea has been around
for a while, but today paleontologist Gerta Keller,
who has long been dubious about the asteroid theory, will unveil the
strongest evidence yet that scientists convicted the wrong perp. In a
study presented at the annual meeting of the Geological Society of America in Denver, she will announce that the volcanic eruptions that created the enormous Deccan Traps lava beds
in India peaked at just the right time to explain the dinos’
demise—releasing what she and colleagues estimate was ten times more
climate-altering gases (mostly carbon dioxide and sulphur dioxide) into
the atmosphere than the asteroid impact.
Previous research had dated the volcanic eruptions to within
800,000, then 300,000, years of the worldwide extinction whose
highest-profile victims were the dinosaurs but which also killed some
half of all species on Earth. But by dating the appearance of tiny
marine fossils that are known to have evolved immediately after mass
extinction, Keller’s team now concludes that the most intense period of
volcanic eruptions ended right when the mass extinctions began.
In contrast, the asteroid, which landed off Mexico’s Yucatan
peninsula and formed what’s called the Chicxulub crater, predated the
mass extinction by some 300,000 years. Keller and like-minded
geoscientists who have been poking holes in the asteroid theory for
years now reached that conclusion in 2004, in a paper
in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. The Chicxulub
impact, they calculated from cores taken from the crater, simply came
too early to the crime scene: the mass extinction did not get underway
for millenia. There's never been a convincing explanation for why it
would have taken so long for the dying to start. If the victim wasn't
killed until long after the suspect left the scene, it's time to start
looking for a new suspect.
The Indian volcanoes, on the other hand, were timed just right to
poison the planet and wipe out much of its life. They spewed out sulfur
dioxide that poisoned rivers, lakes and seas; chlorine gas that
shredded the ozone layer and allowed dangerous ultraviolet radiation to
reach Earth’s surface; and carbon dioxide that triggered a
global-warming greenhouse effect.
Many other scientists (not to mention tourist guides and popular
books) are sticking with the killer-asteroid theory, but it never hurts
to be reminded that even the most popular theories in science are only
as good as the next experiment.
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