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Posted Monday, June 02, 2008 4:21 PM

ET: Phoning Sooner Than We Think?

Sharon Begley

Maybe it’s time to put some new numbers into the Drake Equation. That’s the formula, developed by astronomer Frank Drake in 1961, that estimates the number of civilizations in the galaxy which are sufficiently advanced to have harnessed the electromagnetic spectrum—a fancy way of saying they have radio waves, TV and other components of technology that we could detect even from here.

Not only does the number of planets outside our own solar system continue to increase—it’s now up to 294 —but the range of stars that have planets and the range of sizes of the planets themselves also keep expanding. Today, for instance, astronomers are reporting the discovery of the smallest extrasolar planet yet (only three times more massive than Earth), orbiting a star only one-twentieth the mass of our Sun. That suggests that even stellar lightweights, which are relatively common, can have a retinue of earthlike planets.

“No planets have previously been found to orbit stars with masses less than about 20 percent that of the Sun,” said David Bennett of the University of Notre Dame, who led the study. “But this finding indicates that even the smallest stars can host planets.”

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The planet popped up through gravitational microlensing. When one star passes directly in front of another as seen from Earth, its gravity acts like a giant magnifying glass, warping the surrounding space. The background star brightens. If a planet is orbiting the passing star, the starlight is warped, revealing the presence of the planet.

The passing star in this case has the unfortunate moniker MOA-2007-BLG-192L (MOA is the Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics, the New Zealand observatory that spied the star and its planet; 2007 is the year the microlensing event occurred; BLG means bulge; 192 means the 192nd microlensing observation by the MOA and L indicates the lens star rather than the background star). The planet is designated with a final letter: MOA-2007-BLG-192Lb. We’ll call it 192Lb for short.

It’s about 3,000 light years away. Its star is either a low-mass one that burns hydrogen, as our Sun does, or a brown dwarf, too lightweight to sustain nuclear fusion. It’s the lightest star ever found with a planetary entourage (of one, but still . . . ), and the planet is also the new record-holder for least-massive planet outside our solar system, at three times Earth’s mass.

If very low-mass stars have planets with a mass comparable to Earth, that offers many potential targets for the planned James Webb Space Telescope, which might be able to search for signs of life on them.

The star’s tiny size means it is very faint, and 192Lb is in a deep chill. But the astronomers say that although the top of the planet's atmosphere is probably colder than Pluto, it very likely has a massive atmosphere that would make lower altitudes warmer. It is even possible that radioactive decays in the planet’s interior, which also occurs inside Earth, would make the surface as warm as Earth’s.

A paper describing this result has been accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal, for the September 1 issue. You can find it, as well as very cool artist’s conceptions of the planetary system, here.

So about that Drake Equation. Two key terms are the fraction of stars with planetary systems and the number of planets, per solar system, with an environment suitable for life. Both keep increasing. Now, can we please put NASA’s resources into more research like this, and consign to the ashheap of history Bush’s “plan” for manned missions to the moon and Mars, as yet another bad and wasteful idea?

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Member Comments

Posted By: ccomerford (June 5, 2008 at 6:21 PM)

I have always believed that the notion that we are alone in the universe is among the most arrogant, myopic beliefs ever put forth by human kind.  There is a very real possibility that we will encounter extraterrestrial life, or evidence that it once existed, long before we leave our solar system (if it has not already been discovered).

I found the premise of this article to be quite interesting and insightful.  Current events, like the recent announcement of 192Lb, continue to increase our count of extra solar planets and push our understanding of the range of stars capable of harboring planets further, making for a timely revisit of Drake’s equation.  I suspect the sum of intelligent life the Drake equation attempts to define will likely continue to increase, along with our understanding of the universe.

You might find it hard to believe that someone like myself, who would not be terribly surprised if extraterrestrial life were discovered tomorrow, could be shocked by much.  However it never ceases to amaze me how many columnist, regardless of topic, manage to tie everything back to George W. Bush.  Do they wake up in the morning and say “I think I’ll write an article today about the possibility of extraterrestrial life and, before I am done, will further demonize that nasty man in the White House!”

I wonder if Bush’s “plan” for a return to the moon, and a manned mission to Mars, would be been characterized as “bad and wasteful” had it been proposed by a future president Obama?  I think not.  It would be likened to JFK’s call that started our race to the moon.

As we rapidly approach the 40th anniversary of Man’s landing on the Moon, I think our failure to return in all that time is an utter travesty.  Nothing would be met with more excitement, enthusiasm, or have as much impact on our planet’s entire population than a manned mission to Mars.  Imagine if instead of pictures from yet another rover, we were talking right now about the words spoken by the first man to set foot on the red planet -words destined to echo through history - following the message, “Houston, the Phoenix has landed.”

Perhaps I am a hopeless romantic.  I cringe myself when I think about the billions the US has spent waging war in Iraq that might have taken us to Mars and back again.  However my point here is not to debate US foreign policy, right or wrong.  A science column (or response to one) is not the place.  

What I do know is the day we crush out fires that burn in the souls of men, and relegate them to the “ash heap of history” we are doomed as a species.  Our destiny lies among the stars.


Posted By: jdtseattlewa (June 5, 2008 at 2:29 PM)

Never mind, the LHC is going to prove Fermi's paradox. The reason we don't hear anyone out there is that they too, had to build and try out a Large Hadron Collider on their home world.


 
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