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Christopher Dickey
Christian Caryl
Melinda Liu
Stryker McGuire
Owen Matthews
In Iran as In US, there are different parties all struggling for power control also the other thing that is commonin both countries is that all parties involved in US or Iran are all in favour of a war or any gesture toward the possibility of it(Imagine Clintons or any republicans saying attacking Iran is not an option, noone will vote for them anymore!) therefore it is most probable that a war (small or big I am not sure) will happen at one point in the future, this one was not the moment, who knows about next time?
It is hard not to accept the possibility of Revolutionary Guard interest in this matter. Especially since the U.S. House vote’s on the Guards extra curriculum activities on Iranian politics.
Right now the Ghods Forces and the Revolutionary Guards are backers of Ahmadinejad reelection bids and their peers in the Islamic Majlis (House of Representatives). They have all the tools, manpower and electoral machine to manipulate the election to put their own people in the Islamic Majlis. Looking from inside Iran, form the people’s perspective, it is very hard to believe that any negotiation will lead to moderation in the Islamic Regime or change its stance, internally or internationally, for the good of its people or for the good international normalcy.
I believe the regime is part of a MAFIA like regime where Ayatollah Khamenie and President Ahmadinejad are nothing but a figurehead (Just remember President). And things have really changed now for the worse. They neither have the backing of the people nor are they in charge. The only goal this regime has is to rub the Iranian wealth as much as possible and as long as possible. And they have perfected the policies of how to do that without countering another uprising from the people.
The Jig is up, Islamic Republic is after the A Bomb, and the U.S. is either up for it or not. If they have not already started a covert process (financial, militarily, economical, and most importantly Hi-Tech informational and other Hi-Tech actions) by which to replace this regime, then it must fight a war in a very near future, that now a days considers it too risky or costly for international economy, but will be much more costly than anyone can now imagine. I doubt that President Bush has formed such a covert action committee, in the absence of his now changed view of Regime Changed; I hope someone does soon, or we (American and Iranian) people will pay the piper.
I found one item in Walls' article particularly revealing. The conservatives in Iran are planning to raise the voting age. What might this move indicate? Bear in mind that demographically, Iran is a very young nation. According to reports form other sources, younger Iranians are extremely restive. Last spring, Iran was rocked with a number of riots against Ahmandinejad. I am not sure how many American have heard of Tehrangeles, but young Iranians, who possess more internet savvy than any other Middle Eastern nation, do. How might young Iranians feel about being denied the right to vote? We need a leadership that can reach out to the young, not only in America, but also in Iran. That outreach, not our military might, is our true weapon. Walls' article claims that the conservatives in Iran must be secretly weeping. I tend to suspect they will have plenty of additional reasons to weep if we make the right, not the wrong, moves.
Let’s suppose that Iran deployed a flotilla of warships and aircraft carriers off the coast of the US. Let’s suppose a number of factions in Iran, including much of the Iranian media, were calling on bombing various nuclear sites in the US. What would our reaction be? Wouldn’t a number of factions in the US call for attacks in Iranian warships? Wouldn’t certain factions in the US government foment confrontations to get political leverage? In earlier blogs on the Iranian threat, I pointed out that we are fighting Iran with the wrong weapons. For years, I’ve said our military options are extremely limited... That is especially true vis-a-vis Iran. A military strike against Iran will be exactly what fundamentalist Islamic terrorists want. We need a complete regime change - Perhaps we can then effect a similar move in Iran.
Isn't it ironic: Xerox is hoping it can profit by teaching companies how to reduce their printing.