Newsweek
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Oct 21, 2008 05:01 PM
By Michael Miller
The financial crisis has hit the
banking industry hard. The market values of the top 20 banks in the
world have dropped significantly. The biggest losers, of course, are
those banks that were heavily involved in mortgage backed
securities--American lenders like Citigroup and Bank of America.Over
the past year, Bank of America has lost more than 40 percent of its
market value. A number of European banks have also suffered from
subprime lending. UBS, a Zurich-based bank heavily invested in
securities, just received an $8 billion bail out from the Swiss
government. Its market value has plummeted more than 56 percent since
this time last year. In comparison, Credit Suisse, another Swiss bank
much less reliant on derivatives trading, is in much better shape,
opting for a private capital infusion.
Yet
while some institutions are now shadows of their former selves, others
may eventually emerge stronger than ever.
Chinese banks, for instance, have emerged from the crisis in pole
position. Despite sizable losses of their own, China’s big three banks
are flush with funds and have unmatched market-to-book ratios—an
indicator of market strength. This newfound swagger has already led the
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) to open a branch in New
York City, a powerful symbolic gesture. That said, even Chinese banks
could be hiding serious problems. In the past, China’s banking industry
was plagued by bad loans made to state-owned enterprises. Whether these
loans are still lurking under the surface somewhere is anyone’s guess.
The runaway winner in all of this is Wells Fargo. It alone
among the world’s top 20 banks has seen its market value rise—an almost
unreal 10.5 percent—over the past year. Not only did it beat out
Citigroup to scoop up Wachovia, but also it had to be forced into
accepting Congress’s bailout package. “Wells Fargo is generally
considered the best run of the major banks,” says Beim, an impression
reinforced by its handling of the past few months. Coming in second is
HSBC, the only major British bank to avoid PM Gordon Brown’s capital
infusion plan, with another American bank, US Bancorp (USB) a close
third. Both HSBC and USB have managed to keep leverage low while
generating high return on assets.
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