By Lennox Samuels
The day that
U.S. Ambassador Ryan Crocker had chosen to inaugurate his huge new embassy in
Baghdad coincided with an even more significant occasion, the election of
America’s first black president. The
cavernous reception area in the $700 million complex hushed as Crocker extolled
the historic nature of Barack Obama’s victory. The diplomat deftly linked the
fortunes of the two countries he serves. “Just as history was made last night in
the United States, so too are Iraqis making their own history," he said. "Like America,
Iraq will achieve great things and it will do these things through its
elections.”
Crocker
addressed the question many Iraqis, as well as American troops and expatriates,
have: “What will Obama do about Iraq?” In America, the ambassador assured, “We
have one president at a time” and George W. Bush will be president for the next
two and a half months. “We will have full continuity of unity and purpose as we
move through our transition.” In other words, it will be, at least for now,
business as usual – in this case nation-building in Iraq. The reassurance was vague and general, but few expected more. In Baghdad, the landmark election of
Obama is being celebrated by most, but few are under any illusions that it will
change much of anything.
At least,
they insist, no change will be discernible for some time. “The government has
welcomed this [result] and shows all respect to the will of the American
voters,” Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari tells NEWSWEEK. “Ultimately, it will
have an impact on Iraq, but I personally don’t believe there will be a dramatic
change or a quick disengagement.” U.S. military brass are on a similar page.
“The guidance has not changed out here,” says Air Force Maj. Gen. Mark R.
Zamzow. “We continue to do what we have been doing here and our Iraqi partners
are well aware of that.” That is not to say senior officers are not moved by the
Obama’s ascension. “As we work our way through a period of reconciliation, this
is a powerful signal to the Iraqis of democracy in action,” says Army Brig. Gen.
David Perkins. Referring to Obama’s victory speech, he adds, “it shows that you
are not beholden to a political party; you are beholden to the people.”
American
troops are cautious about their soon to be inaugurated commander-in-chief. The
U.S. military traditionally leans conservative and that is largely true in Iraq.
But some enlisted personnel bristle at the suggestion that they march in
lock-step with conventional wisdom. Many supported Obama and greeted his
election with enthusiasm – albeit muted. At Forward Operating Base Prosperity in
central Baghdad, reaction among soldiers of the 4th Infantry Division
is mixed. “The Republicans have pretty much destroyed our country,” says a
20-year-old private first class from California. A 20-year-old private from
Michigan offers a historical explanation for his Obama support: “With the first
George Bush, we went into debt. Clinton almost erased the debt and then the
second George Bush came and racked up even more debt.” Yet another PFC says his
family in Montana voted for Sen. John McCain and that he might have as well – if
he’d voted. He adds though, that, “It is time for a change.” A Missouri-reared
sergeant, 22, morosely decries the election results. “With the Republican Party,
there’s no chance of downsizing the military and there would be less cuts,” he
says. “I don’t blame Bush for the recession; it could have happened with
anybody."
At a time
that Iraq is seeing less violence and hearing more talk of investment and
restoration of basic service, many simply hope that Obama does not arrest the
process. In fact, they identify the president-elect with a strong vision for
their country. Karim Wasfi has watched the campaign over the last 21 months and
says Obama represents hope. “I’m more hopeful with Obama,” says Wasfi, director
of the Iraqi National Symphony Orchestra. “I hope he gets out of the impending
doom of uncertainty that’s coming. He’s got a very tough challenge, but he’s a
hard worker.” Even State Department employees, officially apolitical, look to
Obama for a better future. “This is so affirming about the dynamic energy in our
nation - the vibrant expression of the voices of our people,” says a public
diplomacy officer. “Yes, we want change.”
But many
ordinary Iraqis remain unimpressed. In a country accustomed to conflict and
disappointment, people have a hard time seeing how one person can have any
significant impact on American policy, which many view with suspicion and
distrust. “Obama has nothing to do with the Iraqi situation and we don’t expect
much change to happen here, for he is not alone to decide,” says Marwan Ahmed, a government worker. “He is just a new
face.” Bookshop owner Naiem Abdul Jabbar sees Obama as the chief executive of a
global business that has a never-changing agenda. “An agenda,” he says, “aiming
at achieving only American interests all over the world, not the interests of
others, include Iraq.”
Virtually everyone, however, seems to believe
that Obama is up to whatever challenges he will face. “I met him when he was
here and liked him very much,” National Security Adviser Mowaffak al-Rubaie
tells NEWSWEEK. “After he left, we discussed it and we said “this is
presidential material.’ “
-with Salih
Mehdi