A round-up of this morning's must-read stories. Be sure to check out NEWSWEEK's Hillary Clinton cover package with essays from women inside and out the magazine (including Tina Brown), plus Evan Thomas on Clinton, Howard Fineman on Pennsylvania and Jonathan Alter on his mother's dilemma.
THE IRON LADY
(Ryan Lizza, New Yorker)
In the remaining dozen primary contests, which include the March 8th
Wyoming caucus and stretch to the South Dakota primary, on June 3rd,
Clinton needs to win by huge margins in order to overcome the more than
hundred-delegate lead that Obama still enjoyed after March 4th... Would it be acceptable, I asked
McAuliffe, for the superdelegates to overturn the results of the
popular vote? “You keep trying to contend the nomination is over tonight!”
McAuliffe replied loudly and happily, pointing and waving his arms.
“I’m telling you we have twelve states to go. Don’t tell me about the
popular vote. You call me in June and then talk to me about it. We
don’t know where we’re going to be. We have a lot of states. I don’t
want you disenfranchising all these great states coming up. . . . Why
don’t you like these people?” The next day, a Clinton adviser was more candid about what lies
ahead. “Inside the campaign, people are not idiots,” she told me.
“Everyone can do the math. It isn’t like the Obama campaign has some
special abacus. We can do these calculations, too. Everyone recognizes
how steep this hill is. But you gotta keep your game face on.”
SNIPING BY HER AIDES HURT CLINTON'S IMAGE AS MANAGER
(Adam Nagourney, Patrick Healy and Kate Zernike, New York Times)
Interviews with campaign aides, associates and friends suggest that
Mrs. Clinton, at least until February, was a detached manager. Juggling
the demands of being a candidate, she paid little attention to detail,
delegated decisions large and small and deferred to advisers on
critical questions. Mrs. Clinton accepted or seemed unaware of the
intense factionalism and feuding that often paralyzed her campaign and
that prevented her aides from reaching consensus on basic questions
like what states to fight in and how to go after Mr. Obama, of Illinois. Mrs. Clinton showed a tendency toward an insular management style,
relying on a coterie of aides who have worked for her for years, her
aides and associates said. Her choice of lieutenants, and her
insistence on staying with them even when friends urged her to shake
things up, was blamed by some associates for the campaign’s woes. Again
and again, the senator was portrayed as a manager who valued loyalty
and familiarity over experience and expertise.
INFLUENTIAL DEMOCRATS WAITING TO CHOOSE SIDES
(Dan Balz, Washington Post)
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's trio of victories over Sen. Barack Obama
last week appears to have convinced a sizable number of uncommitted
Democratic superdelegates to wait until the end of the primaries and
caucuses before picking a candidate, according to a survey by The Washington Post.
Many of the 80 uncommitted superdelegates who were contacted over the
past several days said they are reluctant to override the clear will of
voters. But if Clinton (N.Y.) and Obama (Ill.) are still seen as
relatively close in the pledged, or elected, delegate count in June,
many said, they will feel free to decide for themselves which of the
candidates would make a stronger nominee to run against Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in the fall.
OBAMA FAVORED OVER CLINTON IN MISSISSIPPI
(Nick Timiraos, Wall Street Journal)
More than one third of the state's
electorate is African-American. The primary is also open to Republicans
and independents, who have favored Sen. Obama but who polls show may
favor Sen. Clinton in the state. Sen. Obama leads his rival 58% to 34% in Mississippi,
according to a poll Friday by American Research Group. He holds an even
stronger advantage, 66%-31%, among registered Democrats in the state,
while Sen. Clinton leads by 13 points among independents and
Republicans.
MCCAIN USES BREATHING ROOM TO FOCUS ON COFFERS
(Michael Cooper and Michael Luo, New York Times)
Sewing up the Republican presidential nomination while the Democratic
candidates continue to battle each other has given Senator John McCain a valuable commodity: time he can use to unite a fractured Republican Party, ramp up his lackluster fund-raising and transform his shoestring primary operation into a general election machine. The lull will give the McCain campaign some breathing room, but it
could have drawbacks as well. Even Mr. McCain acknowledges that the
tight, fierce Democratic race is likely to garner most of the news
media’s attention in the near term, eclipsing coverage of his campaign.
A SCORECARD ON CONVENTIONAL WISDOM
(Mark Leibovich, New York Times)
RHETORICAL pop quiz: Who was more dead, Hillary Rodham Clinton a week ago or John McCain six months ago? Whose nomination was more inevitable, Mrs. Clinton’s six months ago or Barack Obama’s two weeks ago? Both questions are of course moot — if not ridiculous in retrospect (as
fleeting as Rudy’s front-runner status or the media swoon over Fred Thompson). Yet they inspire a proclamation that might actually be true: The
accuracy rate of “conventional wisdom” in this presidential election
has plummeted to new lows.
DEMOCRATS DOWN THE TICKET WORRY ABOUT AN IMPASSE
(John Harwood, New York Times)
So far, the clash between the two history-making candidacies has
appeared to be an unalloyed benefit to the party. In state after state,
Democrats displayed their enthusiasm through robust primary turnouts
that drew in many new voters. If Clinton and Obama supporters have
fallen into consistent niches by gender, income, education and
ethnicity, polls show that most Democrats would happily support either
one in November. But now the threat of stalemate, vituperation
and disillusionment hangs over a contest structured to declare a
verdict a month ago. Potential fallout could imperil Democratic hopes
for both the presidency and larger Congressional majorities.
CONDIMENT
(Hendrik Hertzberg, New Yorker)
If McCain really wants to have it all—to refurbish his maverick
image without having to flip-flop on the panderings that have tarnished
it; to galvanize the attention of the press, the nation, and the world;
to make a bold play for the center without seriously alienating “the
base”—then he can avail himself of a highly interesting option [for vice president]:
Condoleezza Rice... Her nomination to
a constitutional executive office would cost McCain the votes of his
party’s hardened racists and incorrigible misogynists. They are surely
fewer in number, though, than the people who would like to participate
in breaking the glass ceiling of race or gender but, given the choice,
would rather do so in a more timid way, and/or without abandoning their
party. And with Rice on the ticket the Republicans could attack Clinton
or Obama with far less restraint.
JOE TRIPPI ON THE DEMOCRATIC RACE
(John Heilemann, New York)
The architect of Howard Dean's 2000 primary insurgency, most recently a
senior adviser to John Edwards's campaign and a leading advocate for
the 'bottom-up' style of campaigning, which eschews big donors in favor
of grass-roots organizing and small donations fueled by the internet,
shared his thoughts on the current Clinton-Obama deadlock. Read on to
find out why this won't be resolved before the convention, a
Clinton-Obama ticket is likely, and the end of the writer's strike was
a key moment in the race.
OUT OF THE TANK
(Noam Scheiber, New Republic)
In truth, the press hasn't turned on Obama.
There are simply two different press corps covering him, and the
crankier one carried the day in San Antonio. In some respects, the
split resembles the now-familiar divide in the Democratic electorate
between blue-collar voters and affluent liberals. The press's version
of the lunch-pail set includes some of the local Chicago scribes,
tabloid and wire-service reporters, cable TV and radio correspondents,
and the ever-present "embeds"--the human production studios who race
from stop to stop with all manner of equipment strapped to their backs. The campaign's white-collar set includes many of the reporters at elite national newspapers like The New York Times and The Washington Post, newsweeklies like Time and Newsweek, and general-interest publications like The New Yorker;
columnists from all of the above; and writers from political magazines
like this one... The elites are stringing together a "larger narrative."
The working stiffs generally live, if not from day to day, then week to
week. Like the voters, the two press groups can part company on Obama.
MCCAIN'S DAUNTING TASK
(William Kristol, New York Times)
Buried inside Sunday’s papers was a noteworthy election result. In a
special election to replace former Speaker Dennis Hastert, an Illinois
Republican, first-time Democratic candidate Bill Foster emerged
victorious. George Bush easily carried the district in 2004, as has
every recent G.O.P. presidential candidate. This Democratic pickup suggests that, for now, we’re in an
electoral environment more like 2006 than 2004. Foster’s
eight-percentage-point improvement on John Kerry’s 2004 performance in
the district mirrors the general shift in the electorate from 2004,
when Bush won and the Republicans held Congress, to 2006, when the
Democrats took over Congress and ran on average about eight points
ahead of the G.O.P. Most surveys have shown the Democrats retaining
that sizable advantage over the last 16 months. Saturday’s special
election would appear to confirm these polls. This isn’t encouraging for G.O.P. prospects in 2008.