Like any Iowan worth his salt, Lance Jenkins is used to tuning out
campaign robocalls. But when the 28-year old Web designer got a buzz
from the Clinton camp last week, his ears perked up. "I listened to
more of it than I normally would," he says. "I thought it was odd that
I was receiving a political solicitation this long after the caucuses."
Remember Iowa? It's been more than two months
and nearly four dozen
primaries and caucuses since the Hawkeye State kicked off the 2008
election season back on Jan. 3, but Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama
haven't quite moved on. On Saturday, the 13,485 precinct-level
delegates who committed to the candidates on caucus night will travel
to county conventions,
where they will select delegates to the district and state conventions
scheduled for April and June.
(These delegates will then go on to appoint Iowa's 45 national
delegates.) None of Iowa's delegates--precinct, district or state--are
bound to
their candidates; a Clintonite can flip to Obama and an Obamaniac can
flip to Clinton. Needless to say, that hasn't mattered much in recent
elections, when the Democratic nominee was decided by Super Tuesday.
But now it does. So instead of ignoring the latter stages of Iowa's
convoluted nominating process like their predecessors, both the Obama
and Clinton camps have hired staff to whip up turnout.
Which is where Jenkins--a county delegate himself--comes in. As recent reports
have shown, both campaigns are actively pursuing the 30 percent of
county delegates pledged to John Edwards; his estimated 14 statewide
delegates--now free-agents--would be a major boon. "Absolutely they're
fair game," says
Karen Hicks, a senior adviser to
the Clinton campaign. "We are reaching out to a lot of them, trying to
persuade them to join our team." But Jenkins says that the Clintonites
are going a step further--and cites himself as evidence. According to
Jenkins, the robocall he received from the Clinton campaign was a
solicitation. "It said something like, 'As the county convention nears,
we ask that you consider Hillary,'" he recalls. "It rattled off a bunch
of Clinton's talking points, like experience, substance, ready on day
one, etc." The only problem? Jenkins is committed to Obama--meaning
that, in Jenkins words, "Clinton is actively pursuing pledged
delegates."
Is
this true? And does it matter? On Tuesday, Clinton spokesman Phil
Singer confirmed that the campaign is calling county delegates, but
disputed Jenkins' accusation. "The point of the call is to identify our
delegates," he told me. "The Iowa Democratic Party sends us a list of
all the delegates, but it doesn't specify who they're pledged to. Which
ones are for Obama? Which ones are for Edwards? We're calling to find
out." I reminded Singer that Jenkins had received an automated message,
not an inquiry asking whom he supports; Singer repeated that the calls
were meant to identify Clintonites, not flip Obama people. When I asked
for a script, Singer said he would get back to me. He hasn't. What's
more, Iowa Democratic Party political director Norm Sterzenbach
contradicts Singer's claim, saying that "80 percent" of the county
delegates are, in fact, linked to their chosen candidates on the lists
sent to the campaigns--Lance Jenkins among them. "There's quite a bit
of activity out there," says Sterzenbach. "It's a very unique year."
Now,
a pro-Hillary robocall isn't exactly a dirty trick, and pursuing county
delegates is perfectly legit. (If that is, in fact, what the Clinton
camp is doing; I'll let you know when I hear back from Singer.) But it
does raise questions about where the race is headed. A Feb. 19 report on Politico.com cited "high-ranking Clinton official" confirming that the
"campaign intends to go after delegates whom Barack Obama
has already won in the caucuses and primaries if she needs them to win
the nomination," and Clinton herself seemed to second the emotion in an recent interview with NEWSWEEK. "There are elected delegates, caucus delegates
and super-delegates,
all for different reasons, and they're all equal in their ability to
cast their vote for whomever they choose," she said. "Even elected and caucus
delegates are not required to stay with
whomever they are pledged to. This is a very carefully constructed
process that goes back years, and we're going to follow the process." For his part, Singer has said,
"we have not, are not and will not pursue the pledged delegates of
Barack Obama." At the time, he was answering a question about national
delegates, not county delegates, so there's no contradiction here. But
going forward, it'll be interesting to watch whether what happens in
Iowa stays in Iowa--or not.
UPDATE, 7:12 p.m.: Here's a more detailed description of the call from another Obama delegate:
"This
is the Hillary Clinton campaign. We are calling you because you are a
delegate or an alternate to the county convention." (Some 30-45 seconds
of talking points). "If you are supporting Hillary Clinton at the
county convention, press 1." I listened to the last question and did
not press 1. The same question was repeated two more times. At no time
was there an option to press for any other candidate.
According to someone who would know, the Clinton campaign had concerns
about the accuracy of the delegates that were identified, so they
robocalled all the listed delegates to ensure that everyone knew about
the convention.
That explanation is totally reasonable,
especially in light of the "press 1" option. But from the
description of the call--especially the 30-45 seconds of talking points,
which have nothing to do with ID'ing supporters--it seems like the
whole thing could work another way, too. Keep track of how many
delegates you have and, by getting your message out, maybe pick up a
few. If this is "delegate poaching"--which, I remind you, is totally
legit--it's the mildest, most passive form imaginable. Stay tuned
to see if these "identification with benefits" robocalls reappear in
the run-up to the convention.