A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
PARTIES DIFFER ON WHOM ECONOMIC AID SHOULD HELP
(Edmund L. Andrews, New York Times)
Senator Barack Obama and Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton,
the Democratic candidates for president, claim to have proposed a more
activist role for government than either President Bush or the likely
Republican presidential nominee, Senator John McCain, and the Democratic rhetoric makes the contrast appear even sharper. But
while their philosophies might seem starkly different, in reality both
parties have come to the conclusion that major government involvement
is needed to rescue the financial and housing markets. The
ideological clashes are less about whether the government should
intervene in the economy, and more about whom it should try to rescue. “Democrats
are more likely to propose protecting individuals, and Republicans are
more likely to propose protecting markets,” said William A. Niskanen,
chairman of the Cato Institute, a libertarian research group in
Washington that champions smaller government. Despite differing
approaches, Democrats and Republicans may end up in a similar place
because it will be difficult to protect individuals without protecting
the markets, and the markets will remain fragile if individuals suffer
huge declines in their personal wealth.
LOANS AND LEADERSHIP
(Paul Krugman, New York Times)
All in all, the candidates’ positions on the mortgage crisis tell
the same tale as their positions on health care: a tale that is
seriously at odds with the way they’re often portrayed. Mr.
McCain, we’re told, is a straight-talking maverick. But on domestic
policy, he offers neither straight talk nor originality; instead, he
panders shamelessly to right-wing ideologues. Mrs. Clinton, we’re
assured by sources right and left, tortures puppies and eats babies.
But her policy proposals continue to be surprisingly bold and
progressive. Finally, Mr. Obama is widely portrayed, not least by
himself, as a transformational figure who will usher in a new era. But
his actual policy proposals, though liberal, tend to be cautious and
relatively orthodox. Do these policy comparisons really tell us
what each candidate would be like as president? Not necessarily — but
they’re the best guide we have.
AS CANDIDATES WARM TO BUSH TAX CUTS, ECONOMISTS WARN OF LONG-TERM EFFECTS
(Lori Montgomery, Washington Post)
When President Bush pushed big tax breaks through Congress in 2001 and 2003, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) joined Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.)
and other Democrats in opposing them as fiscally reckless. But now that
McCain and Clinton are running for president, neither is looking to get
rid of the cuts. Instead, they are arguing over which ones to keep. The same is true of Clinton's rival for the Democratic nomination, Sen. Barack Obama
(Ill.), who recently blamed the Bush tax cuts for driving the nation
toward recession. But he, too, wants to preserve about half the cuts,
and pile on new ones. The direction of the tax debate is frustrating deficit hawks in
Washington, who worry that none of the candidates is charting a course
toward a balanced budget... Far from acting as an economic tonic, the tax cuts "are neither
sustainable nor beneficial" without massive cuts in government spending
far beyond what Bush or any candidate to succeed him has proposed... The most popular cuts -- those known as "middle-class" tax cuts -- are
more likely to slow economic growth than promote it.
AFTER BUSH
(Adrian Woodridge, The Economist)
On the face of it the presidential election will give America the
best chance it has had to resolve its internal disagreements about
American foreign policy. The two versions on offer could hardly present
a clearer choice. But the task will be much more difficult than it
appears. A Democratic president will have to weigh huge domestic
pressures to bring the troops home against the danger of creating
regional chaos in Iraq. Withdrawing troops too suddenly could bring
catastrophe in the region and political humiliation at home. Jimmy
Carter's failure in Iran destroyed his presidency and helped to
sideline the Democrats as a political force for a decade. Does a future
Democratic president want to risk a similar debacle? Mr McCain will face a reality test of his own. He is nothing if not
stubborn; nobody survives five-and-a-half years as a prisoner-of-war in
Vietnam without a steely will... But even a man who proudly describes himself as a “son of a ***”
cannot buck public opinion. The American public has turned sharply
against military assertiveness, so Mr McCain's hawkish instincts on
foreign policy are hurting his chances of winning the White House. And
even if he can pull it off, he will have a tough time of it: both
houses of Congress will almost certainly have bigger Democratic
majorities.
COLLATERAL DAMAGE
(Eugene Robinson, Washington Post)
The NBC-Journal poll, released Wednesday, found that the percentage of
voters with negative views of Obama increased by four points in the
past two weeks, from 28 percent to 32 percent. Meanwhile, the
percentage with positive views of Obama declined by two points, from 51
percent to 49 percent. It's hard to attribute this slippage to anything
other than the controversy over Wright's sermons. All in all, it wasn't
what you'd call a great fortnight for Obama. Surprisingly, though, Clinton's was considerably worse. The
percentage of voters holding negative views of her increased by five
points, from 43 percent to 48 percent, while the percentage of voters
who had positive views of Clinton declined a full eight points, from 45
to 37 percent...What's not unambiguously explained in the polls is why Clinton,
basically a bystander, took a bigger hit in popularity than the guy who
had the pastor problem... Here's a hypothesis: The fact that Clinton's poll numbers suffered more
than Obama's might have something to do with the way her campaign gives
the impression of being willing to do anything it takes -- anything --
to win the nomination.
KRAZY GLUE MOMENTS
(Matt Bai, New York Times)
Whether or not a bad moment sticks to the candidate depends on how
closely related it is to the core rationale of that candidate or his
opponent. In other words, if your gaffe goes directly to the main
argument you are trying to make about yourself with the electorate, or
if it substantiates the most relevant thing that your rival would have
us believe about you, then it has the potential to become a serious
problem. If, on the other hand, you do something completely idiotic
that is tangential to what voters most hope or fear about you, then you
tend to get a pass.
RELATED: The 100 Year Lie (Charles Krauthammer)
NORTH CAROLINA CAN CHANGE RACE DYNAMIC
(Nick Timiraos, Wall Street Journal)
A win in North Carolina isn't likely to push Sen.
Clinton past Sen. Obama in the delegate race for the Democratic
presidential nomination, but if she scores an upset, she could grab
attention of superdelegates, the officials and party leaders who can
vote for whomever they choose and may be the deciding factor this year... One key for Sen. Clinton will be to increase her share of the white
vote to overcome Sen. Obama's advantage to date with black voters.
Theodore Arrington, a political-science professor at the University of
North Carolina-Charlotte, estimates Sen. Clinton will have to increase
her share of the white vote from about 55%, her showing in a recent
poll, to some 75%. He argued that superdelegates will be less concerned
with the overall result than with exit polls that show how whites voted.
PENNSYLVANIA VOTERS FEELING NEGLECTED
(Carrie Budoff Brown, Politico)
Indeed, many Pennsylvanians expected the state’s suddenly consequential
primary would be bigger than Iowa and better than New Hampshire. It hasn’t worked out that way. Clinton has campaigned seven days this
month in Pennsylvania. Obama held events on only three days, though he
is set to increase his presence Friday when he sets out on a six-day
bus tour that starts in Pittsburgh and ends in the Philadelphia area.Pennsylvanians can hardly be blamed for being disappointed. This was
shaping up to be the rare year where this late-voting state mattered –
or so residents thought. Now they read the news stories that quote Obama aides saying Clinton
has wrapped up the state. They see clips of Obama at campaign stops in
Indiana and North Carolina and Oregon, even lounging poolside in the
U.S. Virgin Islands.
SUBPRIME POLITICS
(Christopher Cooper, Wall Street Journal)
Barack Obama was still plowing through his economic speech Thursday in
New York when Hillary Clinton's campaign sent an email to reporters,
accusing her rival of taking more campaign cash from the main players
in the subprime-mortgage industry than the other two presidential
candidates. However, several measures suggest Sen. Clinton received more from major
subprime companies than Sen. Obama and probable Republican nominee John
McCain.
OBAMA REWRITING RULES FOR RAISING MONEY ONLINE
(Matthew Mosk, Washington Post)
While past campaigns have relied largely on support from small
circles of wealthy and well-connected patrons, Obama has received
contributions from more than 1 million donors. He raised $91 million in
the first two months of 2008 alone, most of it in small amounts over
the Internet. Obama's unprecedented online fundraising success is often depicted
as a spontaneous reaction to a charismatic candidate, particularly by
young, Internet-savvy supporters. But it is the result of an elaborate
marketing effort that has left Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, his rival for the Democratic nomination, and Sen. John McCain, the presumed Republican nominee, struggling to catch up.