A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
Fill in the blanks on this bit of conventional wisdom from the 2000 campaign:
The presidential primary season may prove to be a decisive factor in
Campaign 2000, not only for who won, but for the way the winners
emerged from the process in the eyes of the voters. _________ was clearly
helped, and _________ was just as clearly hurt. ___________
has improved his personal image, while making gains among two key
groups whose support had eluded him last year, independents and men. In
contrast, many people have come to dislike _______ personally, especially
former supporters of _________.
Democrats, take heart.
OBAMA DONS A BLUE COLLAR
(Paul West, Baltimore Sun)
On Saturday night, Barack Obama went bowling for the first time in 30 years. Part of his new effort to get closer to working-class voters, the
presidential candidate grabbed a bite at Altoona's Original Texas
Hotdogs, then strapped on a pair of size 13 1/2 shoes at Pleasant
Valley lanes, to cheers from patrons. He never loosened his tie and the
bowling wasn't pretty--basketball's his game--but from a
public-relations standpoint, it was a ten-strike. Connecting with ordinary people and their everyday concerns is part of
Obama's strategy for confronting perhaps the biggest remaining hurdle
in his fight with Hillary Clinton:
white, blue-collar Democrats... To promote his regular-guy themes, Obama is midway through a six-day
bus tour that is taking him from one end of the commonwealth to the
other, his longest campaign swing in a single state this year. Rolling across the steep hills and narrow valleys of the western
Pennsylvania countryside, his bus does not advertise its presence.
There is not so much as an Obama bumper sticker, much less a campaign
banner, on the outside of the rented luxury liner... The unmarked bus and somewhat stealthy nature of his campaign swing--many stops aren't announced in advance--also reflect the highly
nuanced Obama effort in this state. He is trying to lay the groundwork
for a Pennsylvania comeback, while keeping expectations in check,
something his campaign has been less effective in doing than Clinton's.
MORE: Democrats Hit the Campaign Trail in Pennsylvania (Katharine Q. Seelye, New York Times)
The Democratic campaign took on the feel of the early voting states on
Monday, back when the candidates’ buses would crisscross paths in a
single state. Senators Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama were both in eastern Pennsylvania courting voters.
AS RIVALS BATTLE, MCCAIN BUILDS NOVEMBER MACHINE
(Michael D. Shear and Dan Balz, Washington Post)
Some Republican strategists have said that McCain has not made the best
use of the extra time that the prolonged Democratic nomination battle
has given him. They have criticized the pace and direction of his
decisions and have questioned why the senator from Arizona has not held more fundraisers to close the huge financial gap between him and his rivals. Despite scheduling numerous events designed to grab attention, including a trip to meet with leaders in Iraq, Israel and Europe, McCain has struggled to be heard during the battle between Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama.
The few times he has broken through have largely been because of
questionable decisions or mistakes, such as when he confused Sunni and
Shiite extremists and when he was criticized for accepting the
endorsement of a controversial television evangelist.
CLINTON SLIPPING ON TRUST
(Amy Chozick, Wall Street Journal)
The debate over her record has left Sen. Clinton confronting her lowest approval rating since April 2006, according to a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll released last week. According to the survey, 29% of the approximately
1,000 respondents said they had a very negative opinion of Sen. Clinton
compared with 15% for Sen. Barack Obama and 12% for Sen. John McCain,
the likely Republican nominee. A Pew Research survey released last week shows 29% of
Democratic voters describe Sen. Clinton as "phony," compared with 14%
for Sen. Obama... Clinton campaign image maker Mandy Grunwald and Ann Lewis, head of
women's outreach, are working to re-establish voters' trust in Sen.
Clinton, campaign aides say. In a new online video entitled "Help us
show our strength," Clinton supporters share testimonials, and Sen.
Clinton delivers a message, thanking voters for their confidence.
PROJECTION: CLINTON WINS POPULAR VOTE, OBAMA WINS DELEGATE COUNT
(Michael Barone, U.S. News and World Report)
These two projections, if they come to pass, seem likely to cause
maximum pain among the superdelegates. Clinton will be able to claim a
lead in popular vote. But only because of Puerto Rico—and because
Puerto Rico this month replaced its caucus with a primary. Obama will
be able to claim a lead in pledged delegates. But only because he gamed
the caucuses better. His lead in caucus-selected delegates is currently
125, as best I can calculate it; that would mean Clinton would have a
35-delegate lead among delegates chosen in primaries. Both sides will
be able to make plausible claims to be the people's choice... Of course my projections could just be plain wrong. Clinton could
win Pennsylvania by an unimpressive margin on April 22 and get clocked
in Indiana as well as North Carolina on May 6. Then you might see a
cascade of superdelegates toward Obama, and the race might effectively
be over. But if all those three things don't happen, then I am sure the
contest will go on through June 3. And in that case I think my
projections are within the realm of possibility.
TRICKY VOTES LOOM FOR 3 CANDIDATES
(Jonathan Weisman and Paul Kane, Washington Post)
With Congress returning today after a two-week break, leaders from both
parties are preparing legislative agendas -- on issues including the
economy, Iraq and immigration -- designed to present the three remaining White House candidates with dangerous political choices. The obstacle course begins immediately, with a Democratic-sponsored
Senate vote today on legislation to ease the mortgage crisis. Next
week, Iraq will dominate, when Gen. David H. Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan C. Crocker testify before two committees on which Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.), Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) and Barack Obama (D-Ill.) serve. By the week of April 21, sweeping housing legislation could reach the
House floor. By the end of the month, an Iraq war funding bill could be
moving, with a second economic stimulus package attached. Republicans will counterpunch by pushing for a vote on tough
immigration legislation, and by pressuring Democrats to cave in to
their demands for legislation on surveillance of terrorism suspects
that offers retroactive legal immunity to telephone companies that
cooperated with the Bush administration's warrantless wiretapping
efforts. It is clear that Capitol Hill will be a battleground for one of the longest presidential campaigns in the nation's history.
CAMPAIGN.USA
(Jose Antonio Vargas, Washington Post)
Kathleen Hall Jamieson, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania
and a chronicler of presidential races for more than 40 years, says the
Internet "has the capacity to immerse people in the everyday minutiae
of a campaign like no other medium before it." The problem with TV
news, especially on cable, is that it distributes a message that many
in the audience don't want to get, Jamieson says.. After Obama's speech on race, cable news anchors repeatedly replayed sound bites from the Rev. Jeremiah Wright's sermons, which were uploaded
on YouTube and linked on countless blogs. Videos of Obama's 37-minute
speech, however, surpassed those clips in views. So far, Obama's speech
has been viewed more than 4 million times, making it the most viewed
video uploaded by a presidential candidate yet on the site. "In
the past there was only a passive relationship between the producer and
the audience. But the audience has also become the producer. That's
very empowering -- and a huge change," says Jamieson. "There's a
dark side to this, of course. Voters can only read and watch and
interact with everything they agree with, creating a hyper-partisan and
largely uninformed electorate. But there's also a bright side where an
informed and engaged electorate can participate in discussions that are
relevant to the political process. Which way we'll eventually go, we'll
have to see."