A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
THE FIRST 21ST CENTURY CAMPAIGN
(Ronald Brownstein, National Journal)
In scope and sweep, tactics and scale, the marathon struggle between
Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton has triggered such a vast
evolutionary leap in the way candidates pursue the presidency that it
is likely to be remembered as the first true 21st-century campaign. On virtually every front, the two candidates’ efforts dwarf those of
all previous primary contenders—not to mention presumptive GOP nominee
John McCain. It’s easy to miss the magnitude of the change amid the
ferocity of the Democratic competition. But largely because of their
success at organizing supporters through the Internet, Clinton and,
especially, Obama are reaching new heights in raising money, recruiting
volunteers, hiring staff, buying television ads, contacting voters, and
generating turnout. They are producing changes in degree from prior
primary campaigns so large that they amount to changes in kind.
THE KEYSTONE PRIMARY STAKES
(Michael Barone, Wall Street Journal)
Mrs. Clinton will claim that her primary victory (if
it turns out to be that) in the nation's sixth largest state shows that
she is the choice of the people – especially the white working class
which has been the bedrock constituency of the Democratic Party since
the 1930s. But the white working class is steadily declining as a
Democratic constituency. The demographic composition of the Pennsylvania
electorate, which makes it more typical of the America of the 1950s
than the America of today, means that its precedential value is limited
to its 21 electoral votes (down from its peak of 38 in 1912-1928). Pennsylvanians have kept quiet during most of our
history. But they will make some noise when they vote tomorrow – and
may make more difference than they have since the days of James
Buchanan and Benjamin Franklin.
MORE: For Women Voters in Pa., a Shifting Landscape (Philadelphia Inquirer)
In Pennsylvania, White Male Vote is Key (Christian Science Monitor)
PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY DECISIVE? SIGNS SUGGEST NO
(Rick Pearson and Mike Dorning, Chicago Tribune)
As the race grows more negative, most signs indicate that Pennsylvania
voters won't be the ones to end the historically long primary season. Given polls showing Hillary Clinton with a small but not decisive lead in Pennsylvania, chances are that the contest will be alive and well for voters in Indiana and North Carolina. Both Clinton and Barack Obama are looking beyond Tuesday's primary to voters they might woo between now and early May. Even though Clinton trails Obama in the delegate and popular vote
counts thus far, her camp says she will continue trying to convince
party leaders that she is more likely to deliver swing states like this
one for Democrats in the fall. Polls show Obama has sliced into her
once-strong lead here, making her argument more difficult.
PARTY CHIEFS PLAN PUSH TO AVOID A LONG FIGHT
(Jackie Calmes, Wall Street Journal)
The rising vitriol is prompting more Democrats to demand that party
leaders do something to end the battle. But no single leader or clique
exists within the fractious party to end the fight, and those with
influence insist voters must have their say. Nevertheless, some party leaders are quietly planning to try to end the
clash, said people familiar with the matter. After the primaries end in
June, these influential Democrats -- led by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi
-- plan to push the last uncommitted party leaders to endorse a
candidate, in hopes of preventing a fight at the August presidential
convention, party insiders say.
DEM VOTER SURGE COULD CUT CLINTON MARGIN
(Jeanne Cummings, Politico)
According to the Secretary of State’s office, since January about
217,000 new voters have registered for the April 22 primary, the vast
majority of whom signed up as Democrats... That statewide Democratic surge has been accompanied by a flood of
party-switching. More than 178,000 voters have changed their party
status since January — and the Democrats have captured 92 percent of
those voters... Those party-switchers now represent about 7 percent of the roughly 2
million Democratic voters expected to turnout Tuesday, said Madonna. A poll of those switchers and new registrants released by Madonna last
week found that Obama was the preferred candidate for 62 percent of
them. Clinton insiders said they are also bracing for the same 60-40
split among newly registered Democrats. Depending on turnout, Madonna said, those newcomers could help Obama
cut a Clinton victory margin by 2 to 3 percentage points and keep her
below a double-digit win that would breath new life into the
hard-fought race.
MCCAIN: A QUESTION OF TEMPERAMENT
(Michael Leahy, Washington Post)
Since the beginning of McCain's public life, the many witnesses to his
temper have had strikingly different reactions to it. Some depict
McCain, now the presumptive Republican nominee for president, as an
erratic hothead incapable of staying cool in the face of what he views
as either disloyalty to him or irrational opposition to his ideas.
Others praise a firebrand who is resolute against the forces of greed
and gutlessness. "Does he get angry? Yes," said Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman,
a Connecticut independent who supports McCain's presidential bid. "But
it's never been enough to blur his judgment. . . . If anything, his
passion and occasional bursts of anger have made him more effective." Former senator Bob Smith, a New Hampshire Republican, expresses
worries about McCain: "His temper would place this country at risk in
international affairs, and the world perhaps in danger. In my mind, it
should disqualify him."
OBAMA'S SECRET WEAPON: THE MEDIA
(John F. Harris and Jim VandeHei, Politico)
My, oh my, but weren’t those fellows from ABC News rude to Barack Obama at this week’s presidential debate. Nothing but petty, process-oriented questions, asked in a prosecutorial
tone, about the Democratic front-runner’s personal associations and his
electability. Where was the substance? Where was the balance? Where indeed. Hillary Rodham Clinton and her aides have been
complaining for months about imbalance in news coverage. For the most
part, the reaction to her from the political-media commentariat has
been: Stop whining. That’s still a good response now that it is Obama partisans — some of
whom are showing up in distressingly inappropriate places — who are
doing the whining. The shower of indignation on Charlie Gibson and George Stephanopoulos
over the last few days is the clearest evidence yet that the
Clintonites are fundamentally correct in their complaint that she has
been flying throughout this campaign into a headwind of media
favoritism for Obama.
OBAMA'S TOUCH OF CLASS
(Thomas Frank, Wall Street Journal)
In truth, I have no way of knowing whether some
passage of mine inspired Mr. Obama's tactless assertion that the
hard-done-by clutch guns and irrationally oppose free-trade deals. In
point of fact, I oppose many of those trade deals myself. But I know one thing with absolute certainty. The
media flurry kicked up by Mr. Obama's gaffe powerfully confirms an
argument I actually did make: That as they return again to the culture
war, what the soldiers on all sides are doing is talking about class
without actually addressing the economic basis of the subject.