A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
SUPPORT FOR CLINTON WANES AS OBAMA SEES FINISH LINE
(Patrick Healy and Jeff Zeleny, New York Times)
As adamant as Mrs. Clinton appeared on Wednesday, several advisers said
that how long she would stay in the race was an open question. Some top
Clinton fund-raisers said that the campaign was all but over and
suggested that she was simply buying time on Wednesday to determine if
she could raise enough money and still win over superdelegates, the
elected officials and party leaders who could essentially hand Mr.
Obama the nomination... Other advisers said in interviews that her campaign was nearly out
of cash, raising questions about what kind of campaign she can continue
to run... Clinton
advisers said they were concerned that the candidate’s online
fund-raising, which boomed after her victory in the Ohio primary in
March and in Pennsylvania in April, had slowed by comparison on Tuesday
night and Wednesday, and that her donor base was either tightening
somewhat or playing wait-and-see, despite her public appeal for money
on Tuesday night... One Clinton adviser said the campaign was struggling to arrange
meetings with large numbers of uncommitted superdelegates. This adviser
said that at least a few superdelegates might not want to meet with
Mrs. Clinton because they did not want to hear another pitch or because
they had all but decided to go with Mr. Obama.
MORE: Democrats Seek Graceful Exit for Hillary Clinton (Los Angeles Times)
Dogged by defections and signs of financial trouble, Hillary Rodham
Clinton faced a significant shift Wednesday even among supporters as
talk turned from how she might win to how she can end her presidential
campaign gracefully.
EVEN MORE: Hillary's Strategy of Last Resort (Los Angeles Times)
Unable to revive her presidential campaign at the polls, Hillary Rodham
Clinton now envisions a road to the nomination built on disputes over
Democratic Party rules and fights over delegate selections. But on
Wednesday even that route looked unattainable, with some key party
officials warning that they would not cooperate with Clinton's strategy.
THIRD TIME'S THE CHARM: Clinton Spurns Calls to Quit Race (Washington Post)
Another Clinton adviser said that there is at best a 10 percent chance
that she will end her candidacy before the last primaries, on June 3.
Privately, however, several advisers acknowledged that her route to the
nomination has become far more difficult as a result of Tuesday's
voting. "It's narrowed," said one adviser, who spoke on the condition
of anonymity to be candid. This adviser said the fundamentals of the race had not changed as
much as perceptions of Obama's prospects for winning. "It's just that
the atmosphere shifted, as it shifted in her favor coming out of Ohio
and again after Pennsylvania," the adviser said. "It's shifted back.
Not to where it was pre-Ohio, but there's been a substantial shift
back." Garin said the real change is in the commentary about the race. "I
think that there are pundits who think she should get out," he said.
"She has faced those calls before and has continued onward."
OBAMA'S GOT A CONFIDENT NEW STRATEGY
(Peter Nicholas, Los Angeles Times)
Barack Obama hasn't managed after months of political combat to force
Hillary Rodham Clinton out of the presidential race, so he's about to
try another approach: ignoring her. Confident that he has built a near-impregnable lead, his campaign aides
said Wednesday that Obama would begin shifting his focus toward the
general election. Obama still plans to campaign in states that remain on the primary
calendar -- he is to appear in Oregon over the weekend -- but he may
also start showing up in states that are considered important in the
November contest: Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. (All three have held
their Democratic primaries.) With Clinton's hopes of capturing the Democratic nomination dimming,
Obama needs to prepare for the prospect of a general election matchup
with the presumptive Republican nominee, Sen. John McCain of Arizona,
aides said. "Everyone is eager to get on with this," said David Axelrod, the Obama campaign's lead strategist. "We've got to multi-task here . . . Sen. McCain has basically run free for some time now."
A TRAIN WRECK IS COMING ON MAY 20
(David Paul Kuhn, Politico)
Not long after the polls close in the May 20 Kentucky and Oregon
primaries, Barack Obama plans to declare victory in his bid for the
Democratic presidential nomination. And, until at least May 31 and perhaps longer, Hillary Clinton’s campaign plans to dispute it. It’s a train wreck waiting to happen, with one candidate claiming to be
the nominee while the other vigorously denies it, all predicated on an
argument over what exactly constitutes the finish line of the primary
race.
OBAMA'S SHOWING RESHAPES DISPUTE OVER DELEGATES
(June Kronholz, Wall Street Journal)
Tuesday's primaries may not have settled the
Democratic nomination, but they may have settled the problem of whether
to seat delegates from Michigan and Florida at this summer's convention. With a procedural clock ticking, the Democratic
Party's rules committee will hear challenges on May 31 to its decision
to strip Florida and Michigan of their convention votes as punishment
for holding out-of-sequence primaries last winter. A rules-committee decision that returned the two states'
338 convention seats could swing the nomination to Hillary Clinton, and
is one of the few remaining scenarios by which the New York senator
could beat rival Barack Obama. But Sen. Clinton's inability to derail Sen. Obama's
campaign Tuesday may have strengthened the Illinois senator's hand with
the rules committee, some committee members say. The likelier outcome
now, they predict, is a decision to seat enough Florida and Michigan
delegates to confirm Sen. Obama's nomination, but not so many that they
could swing the nomination to Sen. Clinton.
MORE: Michigan Dems Settle on How to Split Delegates (Detroit Free Press)
Clinton won the Jan. 15 Michigan primary and was to get 73 pledged
delegates under state party rules, while Obama was to get 55. The state
also has 29 superdelegates. The state party’s executive
committee voted today to ask the national party’s Rules and Bylaws
Committee to approve the 69-59 delegate split when it meets May 31. The
plan would shrink Clinton’s delegate edge in Michigan from 18 to 10 and
allow the state’s 157 delegates and superdelegates to be seated at the
convention.
OBAMA'S GAME CHANGING
(Joe Klein, Time)
Clinton's paste-on populism changed absolutely nothing.
The demographic blocs that had determined the shape of this remarkable
campaign remained stolidly in place. Blacks, young people and those
with college educations voted for Obama; Clinton won women, the
elderly, whites without college educations. Clinton's slim margin of
victory in Indiana was provided, appropriately enough, by Republicans,
who were 10% of the Democratic-primary electorate and whose votes she
carried 54% to 46% — some, perhaps, at the behest of the merry
prankster Rush Limbaugh, who had counseled his ditto heads to bring
"chaos" to the Democratic electoral process by voting for their
favorite whipping girl. Clinton's new glow, her newfound stump
proficiency, her symbiosis with Limbaugh, seemed an eerily Faustian
narrative. But, as we know, those sorts of bargains tend to end badly.
In this case, the upper-crust liberals who seemed ready to flee Obama
in Pennsylvania — the sort of people who would run out and buy a hybrid
before they'd support a reduction in the gasoline tax — decided to vote
their faith that Obama was running an honorable campaign rather than
their fear that his membership in Jeremiah Wright's church would render
him radioactive.
DID RUSH LIMBAUGH TILT RESULT IN INDIANA?
(Alec MacGillis and Peter Slevin, Washington Post)
In Indiana, six in 10 Republicans who supported Clinton on Tuesday said they would vote for presumptive GOP nominee John McCain
over Clinton in the fall, if that were the matchup. By contrast, most
Republicans who voted for Obama said they would back him against
McCain. And a slight majority of Republicans who voted for Clinton in
Indiana told pollsters that she does not share their values, raising
further questions about why they supported her. But at least as much data suggested that many Republicans voted for
Clinton because the Democratic primary was the more meaningful one and
because they simply preferred her to Obama. In Indiana, about nine in
10 GOP Clinton voters said she would make a better commander in chief,
and more than six in 10 said she would have a better shot at beating
McCain...
Edward Carmines, a political scientist at Indiana University, said that he concluded from the data that while Operation Chaos "existed to some extent, I don't think it was a major factor."
IT'S OBAMA, WARTS AND ALL
(Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal)
My analysis of individual state polls shows that today
Mr. McCain would win 241 Electoral College votes to Mr. Obama's 217,
with 80 votes in toss-up states where neither candidate has more than a
3% lead. Ironically, Mrs. Clinton now leads Mr. McCain with 251
electoral votes to his 203 with 84 in toss-up states. This is the first
time she's led Mr. McCain since I began tracking state-by-state results
in early March. Mr. McCain is realistic enough to know he will fall
behind Mr. Obama once the Democratic nomination is settled. He's
steeled himself and his team for that moment. And he's comforted by a
belief that there will be plenty of time to recapture the lead. Mr.
McCain saw Gerald Ford come from 30 points down to lose narrowly to
Jimmy Carter in 1976, and watched George H.W. Bush overcome a 17-point
deficit in the summer to hammer Michael Dukakis in the fall of 1988.
MCCAIN PUSHES PRIORITIES THAT RESONATE ON THE RIGHT
(Elisabeth Bumiller, New York Times)
Senator John McCain
appealed to religious conservatives on Wednesday with pledges to
prosecute sex traffickers, fight Internet child pornography and make
religious freedom a priority in American diplomacy. In a speech followed by tough questions from the audience about the war
in Iraq and his temper, Mr. McCain said that those issues, particularly
the fight against sex trafficking, would be important in his White
House... In part because of the concerns of the right, President Bush has devoted
more money and attention to the issue than his predecessors did.
Conservatives, who are distrustful of Mr. McCain on a number of fronts,
are pushing him to follow Mr. Bush’s lead.
KEY SUPERDELEGATES KEEPING PREFERENCES STRICTLY UNDER WRAPS
(Sasha Issenberg, Boston Globe)
Scores of officially uncommitted superdelegates have voted in the
Democratic presidential race, including such subjects of ongoing
speculation as Al Gore and Nancy Pelosi. While some say that additional
factors will affect how they vote at the party's convention, others are
just staying silent about their preference. For them, what happens in
the voting booth will stay in the voting booth - for now, at least.
CAMPAIGNS THROW OUT TRADITIONAL POLITICAL MAP
(Laura Meckler, Wall Street Journal)
Barack Obama celebrated his win in North Carolina with a promise to
return to a state no Democrat has carried in a presidential race since
1976. North Carolina, he said, is a swing state "where we will compete to win if I am the Democratic nominee for president." This year, both sides are setting their sights on distant targets. The
result may be a scrambled battleground map that mixes traditional swing
states with those long thought to be in one camp or the other long
before November.
REPUBLICANS FOCUS ON OBAMA AS FALL OPPONENT
(Michael Cooper, New York Times)
At least one political party is acting like it knows who the Democratic
nominee will be: the Republicans, who have greatly stepped up their
criticisms of Senator Barack Obama in recent weeks while practically ignoring Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton... Some of the issues that Republicans are beginning to raise paint a
picture of what the fall election strategy against Mr. Obama might look
like. Some are traditional, using Mr. Obama’s support for withdrawing
the troops from Iraq to portray him as weak on national security and
his opposition to suspending the federal gas tax this summer to show him as a tax-and-spend Democrat... Another line of attack seems to be squarely directed at independent and
swing voters, whom both the McCain and Obama campaigns have been
courting. The McCain campaign has argued that Mr. Obama lacks a record
of bipartisan achievement to back up his calls for healing partisan
rifts in Washington and getting things done.