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Posted Wednesday, May 14, 2008 11:27 AM

John Edwards 4Ever!

Andrew Romano
 
Someone's smiling in Chapel Hill. 
 
On January 30, four days after earning an embarrassing bronze in his birth state of South Carolina, former North Carolina senator and Democratic vice-presidential candidate John Edwards returned to the ravaged city of New Orleans, where he'd launched his 2008 presidential campaign 13 months earlier, and announced that he was abandoning his bid for the White House. ""We do not know who will take the final steps to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue," he said, "but what we do know is that our Democratic Party will make history." For the record, that was 105 days ago.

Apparently, 26,181 West Virginians are either unaware of that fact--or don't really care.

When the Mountain State primary returns rolled in last night, no one was surprised to see Hillary Clinton carrying 67 percent of the vote, or Barack Obama finishing a distant second with 26. That's precisely what the polls predicted. But John Edwards with seven percent--more than a quarter of Obama's vote? This was a guy who hadn't been a living, breathing candidate for president for three-and-a-half months, and had only drawn four percent in Nevada when he still was. It's worth noting that Edwards' name has remained on most post-Jan. 30 ballots, and in the early stages of his electoral afterlife, he scrounged up some support: 10 percent in Oklahoma, five percent in Arizona and four percent in Tennessee on Super Tuesday. But since then, he's only managed to snag two percent (Ohio), one percent (Maryland, Virginia, Wisconsin, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont, Mississippi) or zero percent (everywhere else) of the vote. Which makes his seven-percent finish in West Virginia all the more surprising--and significant.

Most pundits are interpreting the Edwards resurrection as a bad omen for Obama. It "presage[s] problems for him in a general election match-up with [John] McCain, particularly in rural states such as West Virginia," writes the Politico's Kenneth P. Vogel. And insofar as Obama will inevitably face McCain in November--unless, of course, a sperm whale slides onshore and swallows him whole--that much is true; you can lump these Edwards voters with the 47 percent of West Virginia Democrats who told exit pollsters they'd vote for McCain over Obama, or simply refrain from voting.  But it's worth remembering that Edwards is not only white--he's a guy. Plenty of Mountain State Democrats--okay, most--dissed Obama by voting for Clinton. The 26,181 who went out of their way to cast useless ballots for a white, male non-candidate were voicing their opposition to Clinton, too. Making history? they thought. I'll pass. All of which goes to show that neither of the remaining Democrats--despite Clinton's claims to the contrary--would stand a particularly strong chance of winning West Virginia in the fall. If a full seven percent of Democratic primary voters (the most loyal of party loyalists, mind you) are so repulsed by both viable Dems that they'd vote for the nonexistent Edwards instead, just imagine how the other half of the electorate--i.e. the half that doesn't like any Democrats, and that carried Bush to a 13 point victory there in 2004--will break on Election Day. Almost heaven? Try a little lower.

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If his strong showing basically proves that his beloved Democratic party will lose the Mountain State to McCain, why did I joke earlier that Edwards is smiling at home in Chapel Hill this morning? Call it the "I Told You So" factor. Before Clinton's recent populist transformation, Edwards occupied the post of pugilistic people's candidate. (He wore jeans; she wears pantsuits. Enough said.) And last fall, his campaign's main argument was--surprise, surprise--electability. "It's not just a question of who you like," he said in Iowa. "It's not just a question of whose vision you are impressed with. It's also a question of who is most likely to win the general election." Like Clinton, Edwards' logic relied on the implicit notion that some swing voters aren't ready to elect an African-American; unlike Clinton, it also relied on the implicit notion that some swing voters aren't ready to elect a woman. "Obama's drawback is obvious," Cliff Ferguson, an Edwards supporter from Hamburg, Iowa, told me last October. "If he gets the nomination... all kinds of people will crawl out from under their rocks and throw mud. Boy, it'll be ugly. And it's the same with Hillary, 'cause she's a woman. Attacks are all they have, the Republicans."

If Clinton loses the Democratic nomination, and Obama loses the general election, it may look, in the end, like the white dude was right all along.
 

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Member Comments

Posted By: wvacampfire (May 15, 2008 at 10:16 PM)

I think mountaingal's copmments are superb!  I felt (& still feel) lost without Edwards in the running.  If it were not so important to stop a 3rd Bush term (ie: McCain) I would likely write Edwards/Gore on the ballot as my choice!  Our state motto, Mountaineers are Always Free, may take on a horrible turn with another 4 years of the same.  John Edwards, PLEASE COME BACK!!


Posted By: revolved (May 14, 2008 at 7:19 PM)

Edwards just endorsed Obama in Michigan. Edwards looked very small, like a deer in headlights. He looked almost speechless in the massive wave of Obamania swirling around him. Pure comedy.


Posted By: Mountaingal (May 14, 2008 at 3:06 PM)

I happen to be one of the 26,181 West Virginians that marked John Edwards on my ballot yesterday.  Of course I knew he had dropped out (we're not idiots), and contrary to the suggestion of the article I cared very much.  I care enough to stand by my convictions and not vote for a candidate that doesn't represent me.  When Edwards was the VP nominee I lived in NC and was fortunate to attend one of his speeches.  I knew then that this was someone that truly cared.  I can tell the difference between pandering (Hillary downing shots), charismatic fluff (Obama's rhetoric), and honest to goodness conviction.  Having dark skin was not the reason Obama didn't earn my vote.  As a woman I'd love to see a female in the White House, but only if she can lead this country in the right direction.  So the insinuation that the only reason John Edwards got votes was because the hillbilly's in WV couldn't stomach the thought of a black or a woman in the highest office is insulting and rude.  

I can't speak for others, but perhaps the reasons they voted for Edwards were the same as mine.  He understands where we come from.  Though he got a lot of grief over his "son of a mill worker" message, it resonates with those with similar upbringings.  The media is making a big deal about the fact that West Virginians are poor.  As a whole it is true.  The state is hurting and the people here are suffering.  John Edwards was the only candidate that I felt truly recognized that.  While I personally am doing fine (worked my way through college, have a good job), everyday I witness those around me, my neighbors, my Friends, My Family, struggling.  Neither Hillary or Obama seem to care.  We're simply another stop on the way to the White House.  Their talking points of the day are suited only to the crowd they're standing in front of.  Apparently the people of this state aren't even relevant enough for Obama to make a stop.  I didn't vote for Hillary or Obama because they don't respect the people who need a voice more than any other.  John Edwards wanted to be that voice.  So when faced with the decision to choose between two evils or stand behind a man of integrity that was forced out of race just so history could be made, I'll take the latter any day.