A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
STEELING OBAMA
(Douglas E. Schoen, Los Angeles Times)
Conventional wisdom suggests that these last two months have been bad
news for Barack Obama. He hasn't been able to close the door on
Democratic rival Hillary Rodham Clinton, who swept West Virginia on
Tuesday. He's been dogged by controversies over his words and
associates. Meanwhile, Republican John McCain has been getting a
jump-start on the fall campaign. Although those things may be true, so is this: The last six weeks have
been a great benefit to Obama -- and may emerge as the most important
period of his quest for the presidency. The poll evidence is
unambiguous: He's suffered no short-term damage. A recent Los Angeles
Times/Bloomberg poll shows Obama leading McCain in a hypothetical
matchup by six points; in February, he was trailing by two. The
Rasmussen Reports' estimate of electoral college strength has him
leading McCain, 260 to 240. And a recent CBS/New York Times poll
reveals that over the last few weeks, Obama's favorability rating
actually increased by five points. So
these controversies of early 2008 have strengthened, not weakened,
Obama's position for the general election in November. How's that?
MCCAIN AIDE TRAINS HIS SIGHTS ON OBAMA
(Monica Langley, Wall Street Journal)
When it comes to Sen. McCain's image, Mr. Salter, 53
years old, is the campaign's chief creator, shaper and enforcer. For
two decades, he has been the presumed Republican nominee's
speechwriter, adviser and confidant. He has helped the senator write
two best-selling memoirs, on which they split the proceeds 50-50. The
senator says they are "like brothers." Now that Sen. Barack Obama has emerged as the likely
Democratic nominee, Mr. Salter is poised to play a large role in a
general-election campaign filled with potential land mines, from race
issues to Sen. McCain's age, which is 71. Early signs are that Mr.
Salter will urge a feisty campaign -- in character for a man who once
wrestled a persistent critic of the senator to the floor of a
congressional hallway.
CLINTON'S 11TH HOUR PUSH
(Alexander Bolton, The Hill)
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) rallied her Capitol Hill
supporters on Wednesday night, telling them to bring an uncommitted
friend and seeking to capitalize on her 41-percentage points victory in
the West Virginia primary. But as she was scheduled to gather
with her supporters, rival Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) grabbed another
one — former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) endorsed him at a rally in
Grand Rapids, Mich. Despite this blow, which handed Obama the support of a candidate whose
appeal was largely to blue-collar workers, Clinton used the meeting at
the Sewell-Belmont House to drive home the point that she is more
competitive with precisely that category of voter, and in districts
where Democrats will face their toughest races this fall. Clinton’s
senior campaign adviser, Harold Ickes, met her congressional whip team
Wednesday morning to make clear that she intends to stay in the race
until June 3, the date of the last primary, despite recent speculation
that she might drop her bid after Oregon and Kentucky hold primaries on
May 20.
THE POLITICS OF THE LAPEL, WHEN IT COMES TO OBAMA
(Jim Rutenberg and Jeff Zeleny, New York Times)
It showed up on Monday, right there on his lapel, as he addressed
veterans in West Virginia: a flag pin.There it was again on Tuesday, in
Missouri, as he spoke to workers at a garment factory. And it was there
Wednesday as he toured a Chrysler plant in Sterling Heights, Mich.,
near here in the Detroit suburbs. Seven months ago, Senator Barack
Obama said he did not feel compelled to wear a flag pin, saying he
would prove his patriotism in deed, not apparel. What gives? Was it the
woman in Indiana who pulled him aside, gently suggesting that he wear
one? Was
it part of a larger embrace of all those things presidential candidates
simply have to do on a campaign, along with eating cheese steaks in
Philadelphia or chugging Miller in Milwaukee? Or was it in
reaction to continued questions like the one this week from a local
reporter in South Charleston, W.Va., who asked how Mr. Obama could
attract “blue-collar, white voters in this state,” adding, “They think
you are un-American.” None of the above, say Mr. Obama’s aides,
who have insisted during these rare three days of pin wearing — the
first consecutive days he has worn the pin in the campaign — that it is
just fashion happenstance.
SIX WAYS THE GOP CAN SAVE ITSELF
(Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen, Politico)
1. Get a clue: Republicans desperately need to cook up some new ideas and craft an attractive agenda to have any chance of success.
2. Cut the crap: Republicans are dominating Democrats in one area right now: humiliating sex scandals. 3. Beg for help: The Republican infrastructure is crumbling...
For now, Republicans need their rich backers to crack open their wallets. 4. Burn the Bush: There is something honorable about
loyalty. But taken too far, it can start to look downright loony to
voters. President Bush is as unpopular as Richard Nixon was in the days
before his resignation. Cut him loose — quick. 5. Change the pitch — and your face: Several well-known Republicans said the party needs fresh, reassuring packaging and a more diverse crowd to deliver it.
6. Fan the fear: Ignore the critics, Republican wise
men say — there is still no better way to win than to stir up concerns
about Democratic patriotism and their commitment to national security
and killing terrorists. It often remains the best call in the GOP
playbook, especially with McCain atop the ticket.
OBAMA AND OREGON: MORE IN COMMON THAN 'O'
(Julia Silverman, Associated Press)
Portland and its suburbs seem tailor-made for
Obama. Residents are liberal-leaning, upwardly mobile, well educated
and strongly opposed to the Iraq war. About 45 percent of the statewide
Democratic primary vote in recent elections has come from the Portland
area. Obama will not be able to count on the kind of big turnout from
black voters that has boosted his vote totals in some southern states.
Blacks account for only 1.7 percent of Oregon's population, compared
with 12.4 percent nationally, according to the Census Bureau. Also, the rest of the state is not as young or as hip as Portland.
Overall, Oregon's population is slightly older and has a slightly lower
income than nationally, 2006 census data shows.
AGITATED? IRRITABLE? HOSTILE? AGGRESSIVE? IMPULSIVE? RESTLESS?
(Dana Milbank, Washington Post)
House Republicans may be heading off a cliff in November, but give them
credit for perseverance. Even after the new slogan they floated -- "The
Change You Deserve" -- was discovered to be trademarked ad copy for the
antidepressant drug Effexor, GOP leaders decided to go with the rollout
anyway... For House Republicans, the diagnosis is obvious: They are
suffering
from Election Anxiety Disorder. Tuesday night, they lost the third
special election in a row to Democrats in heavily Republican
congressional districts. Eighty-two percent of Americans say the
country is on the wrong track, and they're largely holding President
Bush
and his party responsible. This week, panicked House Republicans defied
Bush and voted with Democrats to pass a farm bill and to divert oil
from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
GOP CANCER: PARTY COULD LOSE 20 MORE SEATS
(John F. Harris and Josh Kraushaar, Politico)
The Republican defeat in Tuesday’s special election in Mississippi, in
a deeply conservative district where, in an average year, Democrats
cannot even compete, was a clear sign that the GOP has the political
equivalent of cancer that has spread throughout the body. Many House
GOP operatives are privately predicting that the party could easily
lose up to 20 seats this fall. Combined with the 30 seats that the GOP lost in 2006, that would leave
the party facing a 70-vote deficit against Democrats in the House — a
state of powerlessness reminiscent of Republicans’ long wilderness
years in the 1960s and ’70s. Things are not particularly more hopeful on the Senate side, where most
analysts say Democrats have a strong chance of adding five or more
seats to their current majority.
DEMOCRATIC HOLD ON JEWISH VOTE COULD SLIP
(Elizabeth Holmes, Wall Street Journal)
Is the Jewish vote up for grabs this year? Many Republicans think so -- particularly with Barack
Obama likely heading the Democratic ticket. That calculation has fueled
an intense back-and-forth in recent days between the two parties over
Sen. Obama's views on Israel. While both Sen. Obama and Republican John
McCain have strong pro-Israel records, Sen. McCain is seizing on other
issues, such as Sen. Obama's willingness to meet with Iran's president,
to press his case with Jewish voters. Republicans say Sen. McCain may be uniquely suited as
their party's nominee to draw Jewish support. He has a reputation as a
moderate on some domestic issues and backing from Connecticut Sen. Joe
Lieberman, a prominent American-Jewish politician and former Democratic
vice-presidential candidate. Obama backers say their candidate's
positions on social issues are more in tune with Jewish voters' views.
PRO-ABORTION RIGHTS GROUP BACKS OBAMA OVER CLINTON
(Sam Youngman, The Hill)
NARAL
Pro-Choice America PAC endorsed Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) Wednesday in
what is another blow to Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s (D-N.Y.)
nomination hopes despite her landslide victory in the West Virginia
primary Tuesday night. NARAL
officials said Wednesday that Clinton’s “viability” was an issue, but
the group will not help Obama compete against her in the remaining
primaries. "We are going to be focusing all of our efforts on the
Obama-McCain race,” Elisabeth Shipp, NARAL’s political director,
said... In a statement, Nancy Keenan, the group’s president, praised Clinton and Obama. “Pro-choice
Americans have been fortunate to have two strong pro-choice candidates
in Sen. Obama and Sen. Clinton, both of whom have inspired millions of
new voters to participate in this historic presidential race,” Keenan
said. “Today, we are proud to put our organization’s grassroots and
political support behind the pro-choice candidate whom we believe will
secure the Democratic nomination and advance to the general election.
That candidate is Sen. Obama.”