
Here's my NEWSWEEK colleague Howard Fineman with a dispatch from Kentucky, where Obama currently trails Clinton in the polls by an average of 28.7 percent. Could he do better than expected? Read on.
Sen. Barack Obama
has a good organization here. He hasn't visited much, and his campaign
is downplaying this state's importance in the race for the nomination,
which he has almost wrapped up. Still, the Obama team is trying to
exceed his low expectations here—which call for Hillary to win by at
least 25 points.
He may do that, but I'm not quite
convinced. Steve Henry, a former lieutenant governor and prominent
Democrat, told me that he had organized for Clinton in western
Kentucky—and failed to find a single county judge (that's the local
chief executive) "who wasn't willing to support Hillary." In other
words, most of the party structure in the state is for her, thanks in
part to the Clintons' long, friendly ties to the state.
...
Kentucky is shaping up as another haunting asterisk in Obama's
extra-inning victory box score. In the fall, Obama doesn't have to win
all of the voters in Shively. Indeed, Kentucky may not even be in play
in the race against Republican Sen. John McCain.
But Obama is going to need to reach them if he wants to become president of all the people, even of all the Democrats.
I drove out Dixie Highway to talk to voters who'd gathered in the
gym of Butler Traditional High School to see the former president and,
by extension, support his wife.
They came in three
categories. One was represented by a lady of uncertain age from a small
county in eastern Kentucky. You know her type from the pictures: a
visage lined deep with care and too many cigarettes, a
smile-through-it-all smile: a survivor in the guerilla war of life.
"I'm with Hillary 'cause there is no quit in her," she said. "She's not
a quitter and neither am I." Clinton is a symbol to voters such as
these and, in that sense, you can't possible ask her to drop out of the
race until the last dog dies.
Greg Wagner, who is in
the real-estate business in the area, embodied the second category. He
wore a bright blue University of Kentucky jacket and cap. His support
for Clinton was cold-eyed and somewhat resigned. He was a Democrat and
simply saw no way that America would ever elect Obama to the White
House. It was just too heavy a lift. Obama's failures in some other
states bothered him deeply. "I would hope that he could win in the
fall, but how?" Wagner said. He assumed that primary failures were a
signal of weakness in the fall. "How can we win the White House without
Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Florida? I just don't see it."
Carl Bensinger, a
local lawyer who wore a business suit and black overcoat to ward off
the rain, defined the third category. He was for Clinton because she
was the most experienced. But he thought that either she or Obama would
be able to unite the party at the Democrats' convention in Denver.
Obama could, he said, win those swing states of Pennsylvania and Ohio.
"Concern about the economy trumps everything else," he said. "That's
how we win."
READ THE REST HERE.