As the voters of Oregon and Kentucky cast their ballots, a round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
FIVE THINGS TO WATCH IN KENTUCKY...
(Kenneth P. Vogel and Carrie Budoff Brown, Politico)
Hillary Clinton is counting on Kentucky to give her more ammunition to
make her case to the superdelegates who control the fate of her
campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination. If the state gives her a victory anywhere close to the 41-point
landslide she got out of neighboring West Virginia last week, Team
Clinton will have considerably more evidence to buttress its argument
about her electability. It would embolden her to assert she could win Kentucky in the general
election against presumptive Republican nominee John McCain, and to
claim that Democratic frontrunner Barack Obama is unable to expand the
Democratic electoral map into states like Kentucky. If Clinton wins by a larger margin than the one by which Obama is
expected to beat her in Tuesday’s other primary in Oregon, it would
also amplify her assertion that she’s ahead in total votes, if Florida
and Michigan are counted.
... AND IN OREGON
Oregon seems tailor-made for Barack Obama. The Democratic voters are considered progressive, post-partisan and
reform-minded. Every member of the state’s Democratic congressional
delegation voted against authorizing the use of force in Iraq. It’s one
of the least diverse states in the country, but not one where race
generally comes into play in politics, said Mark Wiener, a
Portland-based Democratic political consultant... All of this portends a strong showing Tuesday for Obama. A
better-than-expected performance for Hillary Rodham Clinton would do
wonders for her campaign, but few, if any, Oregon political experts
predict such an outcome. Here is what Oregon political strategists and experts will be watching Tuesday:
A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS
(Adam Nagourney, New York Times)
When
it comes time to recount the story of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s
descent from inevitable nominee to defeat at the hands of Senator
Barack Obama
— assuming that is how this ends up — there is no shortage of mistakes
by the Clinton campaign to put on the what-went-wrong list. But without
in any way discounting the travails of the Clinton
organization, there have also been a series of external events in this
Democratic nominating fight — events largely beyond the control of Mrs.
Clinton’s campaign — that, had they gone differently, might just have
resulted in a different outcome. Politics is often as much about luck
as it is about skill; the Clinton campaign arguably ran short on both
this year. Here, in no particular order, are some of the factors
and developments that undercut her candidacy, some self-inflicted,
others inflicted upon her: The Timing of the Edwards Endorsement; Michigan and Florida; The Drudge Report; The Tipping Scandal; Immigrants Behind the Wheel; The Return of Joe Trippi; Bill Clinton; Planted Questions and False Rumors.
MORE: Why Clinton Fights On (Richard Cohen, Washington Post)
She is staying in the race because losing comes soon enough, anyway,
and life teaches that anything can happen. Sure, she's hurting the
Democratic Party a bit, and, sure, she's inflicting some damage on
Barack Obama. He will not only hear echoes of Clinton's attacks out of
the mouth of John McCain, but on the Internet and elsewhere they will
be recycled so that Clinton herself will be the attacker. Nothing dies
on YouTube. But in the end, when Obama is crowned king of the
Democrats, Clinton
will throw her arms around him and the music will swell and the crowds
will cheer -- and everything will be forgotten. And when that happens,
Hillary Clinton -- who will be only 65 in 2012 and four years after
that still will be younger than McCain is now -- will be positioned to
run for president, not as someone's wife, but as a gritty fighter who
just would not quit.
OBAMA, CLINTON TREADING GENTLY ON THE STUMP
(Dan Balz, Washington Post)
Obama has moved rapidly in the past 10 days to shift away from daily
sparring with Clinton and to begin a general election debate with
McCain that presents a fresh set of tests for his candidacy. But, his
aides insist, he is mindful that he do nothing to suggest impatience
with Clinton or to signal that she end her candidacy before she is
ready. Clinton, meanwhile, soldiers on toward the end of the primaries on
June 3 and perhaps longer against seemingly insurmountable odds. She is
determined, aides say, neither to be pushed from the race prematurely
nor to be seen as doing anything to damage Obama's prospects of winning
a general election against John McCain, if Obama is the nominee. She
believes, the aides say, that is the best way to bring the party
together as quickly as possible once the nomination contest is over.
MCCAIN FINDS THORNY PATH IN ETHICS EFFORT
(Barry Meier and Kate Zernike, New York Times)
Mr. McCain’s political identity has long
been defined by his calls for reducing the influence of special
interests in Washington. But as he heads toward the general election as
the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, he has increasingly
confronted criticism that his campaign staff is stocked with people who
have made their living as lobbyists or in similar jobs, leaving his
credentials as a reformer open to attack. The process of trying
to purge the campaign of conflicts that in appearance or reality might
violate Mr. McCain’s stated principles or cause him political trouble
has so far focused only more attention on the backgrounds of his aides
and advisers.
QUESTION TIME
(Christopher Hitchens, Slate)
In
the near-universal sarcastic mirth that accompanied the rolling-out of
Sen. John McCain's somewhat utopian speech
in Columbus, Ohio, on May 15, the quixotic nature of his foreign-policy
ambitions was generally stressed. As a consequence, one of his smaller
and more realistic and achievable domestic proposals seems to have been
overlooked. "I will ask Congress," said the presumptive Republican
nominee, "to grant me the privilege of coming before both houses to
take questions, and address criticism, much the same as the prime
minister of Great Britain appears regularly before the House of
Commons." This is a reformist proposal with quite a long and
interesting pedigree, and it speaks well, I think, of the man proposing
it... He has made a rather generous and intelligent offer. He probably
thinks
that it is in keeping with his expressed commitment to that chimera
known as "bipartisanship." He would soon find out that nothing
intensified political rancor more than a good old-fashioned Question
Time, but no doubt the idea was well-meant, and I was sorry to see that
discussion of it was mostly lost in the general sneering.
OBAMA SHIFTS TO COUNTERING REPUBLICAN ATTACKS ON HIS PATRIOTISM
(Juliana Goldman, Bloomberg News)
The flag pin that appeared on Barack
Obama's lapel is just the opening salvo of Operation Patriotism
for the Democratic presidential candidate. The Illinois senator overcame his longstanding reluctance to
wear a flag pin after he was presented with one by a veteran in
Charleston, West Virginia, on May 12. Obama is trying to head off
what advisers expect to be a Republican effort to impugn his
patriotism. His campaign plans to emphasize his family's military
ties, his work on behalf of veterans and his life story...Obama plans to use speeches and campaign events to reinforce
his patriotic image to America by evoking his grandparent's
military background. He also plans to speak sometime this summer
near Punchbowl National Cemetery in Honolulu, where his
grandfather is buried... Obama's advisers said he would describe his life story as a
uniquely American one. The campaign also will roll out more
supporters among retired military figures and younger veterans,
and plans to highlight Obama's legislative record... The flag and other patriotic props will be displayed more
often, Danzig said.
KARL ROVE'S SLY DEAL WITH FOX
(Amanda Terkel and Matt Torley, Salon)
Fox News hosts routinely introduce Rove as a "former senior advisor
to President Bush," "the architect," a "political wizard" and a "famed
political consultant." But never has he been introduced as he should be
-- as an informal advisor and maxed-out donor to John McCain's
presidential campaign. To political news junkies, a disclosure of Rove's relationship to
the McCain campaign may seem unnecessary. But whether the public simply
assumes that Rove supports McCain isn't the point. The "most
influential pundit" in America, as Fox likes to trumpet, should have to
play by the same rules as other high-profile political analysts. For
example, Paul Begala and James Carville are regularly identified as
supporters of Hillary Clinton when they appear on CNN. But Rove has
been able to act as an independent observer while criticizing Clinton
and Barack Obama, McCain's likely general election opponent. There is nothing shocking about Rove's attacking Democrats, of
course. And his operating with a duplicitous air of independence
probably isn't going to make or break Fox's claim to "fair and
balanced" coverage. But will the greater public catch on?
OBAMA EXPECTED TO HIT MILESTONE IN TUESDAY'S VOTES
(Patrick Healy, New York Times)
For
Mr. Obama, the situation is delicate. While eager to proceed to a
general election match with Senator John McCain
of Arizona, the likely Republican nominee, Mr. Obama is also trying to
bring the contest to a close in a way that allows him to win over Mrs.
Clinton’s supporters and unify the party. For her part, Mrs. Clinton is
making a counterargument that she is winning the popular vote if
Florida and Michigan are counted, and that the party’s leaders should
take that into consideration before deciding which candidate to
support. The results from the Kentucky and Oregon
primaries on Tuesday will almost certainly allow Mr. Obama to reach a
threshold that his campaign has long sought to establish as the
critical measure of the will of the party: winning a majority of the
delegates awarded in primaries and caucuses. He also continues to
gather support from the party leaders known as superdelegates that he
still needs to secure the nomination, picking up five more endorsements
on Monday. Mr. Obama does not want to appear as if he is pushing
Mrs. Clinton out of the race, preferring instead to treat her
gracefully as a worthy Democratic fighter, not as a stubborn nemesis.
OBAMA 'STRONGER,' 'BETTER' AFTER STRUGGLE
(Roger Simon, Politico)
After an election is over, the media usually decide that everything the
winner did was an act of genius and everything the loser did was a
terrible mistake, but Axelrod knows the truth is far more complicated
than that. Campaigns make bad and good decisions, and maybe the winning campaign
makes more good than bad ones or maybe sometimes it just gets lucky. In
any case, the smart campaigns realize their defeats are far more
important than their victories, because defeats teach lessons that
victories do not. “After we lost the New Hampshire primary,” Axelrod says, “the next day,
on about three hours of sleep, [Obama] said, ‘I think what happened
yesterday was right. When you are the new guy, it is not supposed to be
easy. It was like Icarus flying too close to the sun. We have to earn
this. But it persuaded me this is the right battle.’”