Speaking to The Argus Leader ed board in South Dakota today, Hillary Clinton cited a few historical reasons for staying in the race--including one that seems to suggest... well, read on:
My husband did not wrap up the nomination in 1992 until he won
the California primary somewhere in the middle of June, right? We all
remember Bobby Kennedy was assassinated in June in California. I don’t
understand it.
Is Clinton really implying that the past is prelude? That a young,
come-from-behind frontrunner could be killed on the cusp of winning the
nomination and replaced atop the ticket by an establishment
Democrat who'd spent some time in the White House? That her party
should be worried about history repeating itself? That this possibility
is reason enough for her to keep on keeping on?
You can read it that way, I suppose--and many will. But I'd give her the benefit of the doubt. As a Clinton aide told
the
New York Times this afternoon, "she was simply using the Kennedy
assassination as a benchmark to underscore that nomination fights can
go a long time and that she was in no way implying anything else." That
makes sense; even if the possibility of Obama getting shot has
crossed Clinton's mind, she certainly isn't stupid
enough to air it in public. How does it help her politically? Still, as
"misspeaking" goes, the RFK reference is catastrophically clumsy. Need
an example of campaign longevity? Choose,
say, Gary Hart. Or Ted
Kennedy. Or even Ronald Reagan. All of them fought until the
convention--much longer than RFK, who ran for a grand total of less than three months.
Also, none of them were assassinated. (UPDATE: Not to mention that Bill Clinton effectively wrapped up his nomination in April 1992, even if he didn't get the majority of delegates until June.)
That said, Team Obama isn't feeling
quite as generous as I am. “Senator Clinton’s statement before the Argus Leader
editorial board was unfortunate and has no place in this campaign,”
said campaign spokesman Bill Burton. Something tells me that the
candidate's unpaid advocates, online and off, will be slightly less restrained in their criticism.
UPDATE: Clinton's response, from Brandon, S.D.:
“Earlier today I was discussing the
Democratic primary history and in the course of that discussion
mentioned the campaigns that both my husband and Senator Kennedy waged
in California in June 1992 and 1968 and I was referencing those to make
the point that we have had nomination primary contests that go into
June. That’s a historic fact. The Kennedys have been much on my mind
the last days because of Senator Kennedy and I regret that if my
referencing that moment of trauma for our entire nation, and
particularly for the Kennedy family was in any way offensive. I
certainly had no intention of that, whatsoever. My view is that we have
to look to the past and to our leaders who have inspired us and give us
a lot to live up to, and I’m honored to hold Senator Kennedy’s seat in
the United States Senate from the state of New York and have the
highest regard for the entire Kennedy family.”
UPDATE, 11:42 p.m.: Two more tidbits for the road.
1. From the New York Times:
Friday was not the first time Mrs. Clinton referred to the assassination of Robert F. Kennedy
in such a context. In March, she told Time magazine: “Primary contests
used to last a lot longer. We all remember the great tragedy of Bobby
Kennedy being assassinated in June in L.A. My husband didn’t wrap up
the nomination in 1992 until June. Having a primary contest go through
June is nothing particularly unusual.”
Some
may see this as proof of an insidious pattern, but it actually strikes
me as exculpatory. In March, Clinton still had a plausible--if not
probable--path to the nomination. There was no need to resort to an
"Obama could be the new RFK" rationale for continuing her campaign, and
that's why no one interpreted her remark as a weird, "what if?" scare tactic at the
time. Now, however, Clinton's persistence looks a lot less
logical--meaning the RFK reference looks a lot more sinister. "Maybe THAT'S why she's hanging on" was the collective response. But as the New Republic's Michael Crowley notes, Clinton "was
talking about the calendar in historical terms--not the uncertainty of
the process." In both cases. So it's not the content of her comments
that's changed--it's the context.
2. From reader "Ammo":
Now the thing is--and I'm the last person to give her the
benefit of
the doubt because she's been plain vicious over the past six months--if
she did drop out now, and then something tragic did happen to Obama,
wouldn't she still be in the premium spot for the nomination?
Logically, a stay-in strategy informed by that awful scenario doesn't
make sense: whether she's in or out of the race officially, she's still
got to be the second choice for Dem nominee based on her campaign
successes. So wouldn't it make more sense that this is just an awful,
stupid choice of words?
I say absolutely. And in this supercharged climate, that may be bad enough to bring her bid to an end.