Sure, Puerto Rico, South Dakota and Montana may be the only
primaries left on the Democratic nominating calendar. But none of them
have the privilege of hosting the party's last, most important battle.
That honor goes instead to Washington, D.C. On Saturday, the DNC's
Rules and Bylaws Committee will meet in our nation's capital to resolve
the dispute over Florida and Michigan, the two states stripped of their
delegates for defying the party and scheduling primaries before Feb. 5.
To get you up to speed on the "Florigan" debacle-don't blame us for the
lingo; that's what the cable newsniks are calling it--we've put
together a two-part series of "Frequently Asked Questions." Below is a
recap of what's already happened; Part II will explore what's next. Let
the games begin.
How did the Democrats get into this mess?
Pick
your musical metaphor: "The Long and Winding Road." "Incredible
Journey." Even "Off We Go, Into The Wild Blue Yonder." All of them
apply. So instead of boring you to tears--or bloodshed--with every
mind-numbing twist and turn, we'll go short 'n' sweet.
Michigan
has been pushing to break Iowa and New Hampshire's early-primary
stranglehold since at least Jan. 19, 2002. That's the date when Democratic Sen. Carl Levin pleaded
with the DNC to open up the schedule--and was unanimously voted down.
In March 2003, the Great Lakes State explored moving up its contest to
coincide with New Hampshire's, but soon decided against it. Fast
forward to Jan. 27. 2007, when a bill seeking reschedule Michigan's
primary for January 2008--in direct violation of DNC rules, which said
that only Iowa, N.H., S.C. and Nevada could hold their contests before
Feb. 5--cropped up in the Michigan legislature; seven months later, on
Sept. 4, 2007, the state's Democratic legislature and governor
officially shifted the primary to Jan. 15, 2008, leapfrogging ahead of
New Hampshire. And that was that.
Meanwhile,
Florida was making a mess of its own. Legislation designed to push its
primary from the first Tuesday of March to Jan. 29, 2008 first appeared
in the state House and Senate on Jan. 23, 2007; it passed the
legislature (near-unanimously) fourth months later. In both cases, the
DNC worked with local officials to choose alternate dates and clearly
warned that it would strip the two scofflaw states of 100 percent of
their pledged delegates if their contests were held before Feb. 5; as a
final precaution, the national party even gave the Great Lakes and
Sunshine States 30 days to reschedule. But Democrats in Florida and
Michigan rolled the dice pushed for early primaries regardless. They
came up empty handed.
In the end, Clinton won both contests — after all the candidates agreed not to campaign in either state and Obama wasn't on the Michigan ballot.
Wait a second. Didn't Republicans have something to do with scheduling the Florida's primary for Jan. 29?
Absolutely.
In Florida, the state legislature determined the date of the
primary--and unlike Michigan, Florida's legislature is in Republican
hands. Determined to play a part in the nominating process, the
Sunshine State GOP lawmakers pushed vigorously for an early contest,
and their Democratic counterparts had little choice but to go along.
Not only did the Dems lack the numbers to block the bill, but voting
against it would mean voting against Republican Gov. Charlie Crist's
attached proposal to replace touch-screen voting machines with paper
ballots--a politically risky proposition.
That said, the Democrats were hardly held hostage. In Florida last week, Hillary Clinton told local Dems that they "didn't
break a single rule" and that the decision to vote on Jan. 29 was "beyond [their]
control." That's not entirely true. For starters, it was a Democrat--State Sen. Jeremy Ring--who first introduced legislation to reschedule the primary for Jan. 29. "One thing you can be sure of," he said at the time, "is that Florida will be
relevant during the primaries.” In fact, Ring even campaigned in 2006 on the need for an early
primary--and doesn't apologize for leading the effort. (“I hear that a
lot, that
I was duped by the Republicans," he has said. "No one duped me.”)
What's more, not a single Democratic member of the state House voted
against the measure, and there was little opposition in the
Senate. Even after it passed, the DNC gave the state party numerous
opportunities to create a contest that would comply with the
rules--including a caucus on Feb. 5. Florida Democrats said
no. Finally, on Sept. 27, 2007 state party chairman Karen Thurman released a statement supportive of the move. “Florida Democrats absolutely must vote on Jan. 29," she wrote. "We make this election matter. Not the D.N.C., not the
delegates, not the candidates, but Florida Democrats like you and me
voting together."
Okay,
so Clinton now demands that “the Democratic Party must count these
votes... exactly as they were cast." Was that always her position?
Not at all. Clinton completely opposed recognizing Michigan and Florida until after the primaries--i.e.,
when she realized she might need their delegates to win the nomination.
As she said during an interview with New Hampshire Public Radio in October 2007, "it's clear that this election they're having [in Michigan] is not
going to count for anything."
She wasn't alone, either. Two months earlier, Clinton adviser Harold Ickes actually voted to strip the rogue states of their delegates
as a member of the DNC's Rules and Bylaws committee--"to prevent the
gaming of the system," he said. Later than fall, Patti Solis Doyle,
then Clinton's campaign manager, pledged not to compete in either
contest--and was unequivocal as well.
"We believe Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina play a
unique
and special role in the nominating process... and the DNC's
rules and its calendar provide the necessary structure to respect and
honor that role," she said. "Thus, we will... adhere to the
DNC-approved nominating calendar." And when Michigan's Levin pushed for an
early vote in 2004, then-DNC chairman--and current Clinton aide--Terry
McAuliffe put his foot down.
"If I allow you to do that, the whole system collapses," McAuliffe said
(at least according to his memoir)."The
closest [Michigan's delegates will] get to Boston will be watching it
on
television. I will not let you break this entire nominating process for
one state. The rules are the rules."
But when Clinton "won" Michigan on
Jan. 15--and presumably caught a glimpse of the polling that showed her
well ahead in Florida--she quickly changed her tune. "I believe our
nominee will need the enthusiastic support of Democrats
in these states to win the general election," she said
on Jan. 25. "And so I will ask my
Democratic convention delegates to support seating the delegations from
Florida and Michigan." Ickes, Solis Doyle and McAuliffe immediately
fell in line. Whether or not you think Clinton's change of heart was
pure--it is tough to ignore more than two million votes in a contest this close--you can't say it wasn't a change of heart.*
What about Obama? What was his stance on Florida and Michigan?
The
Illinois senator has hardly been an apolitical angel in all of this, either. Like
Clinton, he signed a pledge on Sept. 2, 2007 not to compete in Florida or Michigan. But he then went one step further. Joining Joe
Biden, Bill Richardson, John Edwards and Dennis Kucinich, Obama chose
on Oct. 9 to remove his name from Michigan's ballot. Though spun at the
time as a show of respect for the DNC, Obama's decision to jump ship
was as political as Clinton's decision to stay put: he wanted to a)
appeal to Iowa voters, who were peeved that Michigan was suddenly
competing for an early spot on the calendar and b) delegitimize a
contest he was likely to lose. Mission accomplished. To his credit,
though, Obama has been pretty consistent on the question of seating
Florida and Michigan's delegates, repeating the mantra "Let's play by
the DNC's rules" from last fall onward. It's just that he's held an unshakable lead in the pledged-delegate
count since February--meaning that consistency was politically convenient, as well.
I have a great idea: revotes in Florida and Michigan! Why the heck not?
Sorry,
pal--that ship has sailed. In early March, there was a flurry of revote
proposals flying back and forth between Florida, Michigan and
Washington, D.C.: DNC-funded primaries, Florida-funded primaries, primaries funded by
contributions to the state parties and vote-by-mail primaries with an
early June deadline, among others. But none hit the mark. On March 17,
Florida's Thurman announced that it was "logistically impossible" to
conduct a state-run nominating event before June 10; on April 4, the
Michigan state party followed suit.
For the record, this was
another instance where Team Obama was at least as eager as Team Clinton
to play politics with the process. As Clinton indignantly demanded that
the party either "honor the results or hold new primary elections"--the
latter being perhaps the best way to conform to DNC rules without
dismissing the voters Florida and Michigan--Obama (and his surrogates)
stalled and ultimately did little to help resolve the standoff. We'll work with the national party to find a solution, muttered the candidate. Meanwhile, his lawyers carped
about every possible solution, saying they would be "unprecedented in
conception and proposed structure" and noting that no other states had
ever "re-run
an election in circumstances like these." Dismissing the push for a revote
movement as "more of a Clinton production," Obama campaign manager
David Plouffe added
that Florida's mail-in plan raised "real deep concerns" about
reliability and security. "These are very complicated elections to put
on," he said, helpfully.
In the end, it's not clear that Team Obama
could've made revotes a reality; lack of money--not lack of candidate
enthusiasm--eventually doomed the efforts in Florida and Michigan. That
said, the hopemonger from Illinois wasn't exactly eager to let voters
in those delinquent states have their belated say--especially seeing as
they could've tipped the contest (which he was winning even then) in Clinton's
direction. Ultimately, though, it was politics--not principle--that determined his
position.
COMING UP IN PART II: What's Next for Florida and Michigan--and Clinton.
*Answer adapted from an earlier Stumper entry.