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Posted Tuesday, June 17, 2008 1:53 PM

A Gore Endorsement? Yawn. A Gore Endorsement in Michigan? Interesting...

Andrew Romano

 

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Oh, wait. Sorry about that. It seems that I passed out on the upper left-hand corner of my keyboard. Must've been the news that Al Gore endorsed Barack Obama last night that put me to sleep.

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In a move that surprised exactly no one, the former Democratic nominee for president traveled yesterday to Detroit's Joe Louis Arena to throw his support to... the current Democratic nominee for president. "This moment and this election are too important to let pass without taking action," he said. Of course, the Oscar- and Nobel-winning veep could've delivered his benediction earlier--like, say, February, when it may have helped bring the interminable Democratic primary battle between Obama and Gore's ex-boss's wife, Hillary Clinton, to an earlier conclusion. After all, Gore and Obama have talked frequently since January 2007, including in a meeting last fall at Gore’s home in Nashville--while Hillary and Gore aren't what you would call close. That he didn't--and that he waited a full ten days after his choice had narrowed to a) a Democrat or b) a Republican--is evidence either of his judiciousness (I'll let the voters decide) or his caution (Why burn a bridge?). In other words, "yawn."

That said, there's at least one thing about the Gore endorsement worth noting: the location. (No, he won't accept a slot as Obama's veep--no matter what James Carville says.) One of two states where the Democratic primary process was derailed by disagreements between the national party and its local satellites--and where, consequently, the presidential candidates did not campaign--Michigan is now enjoying Obama's nearly undivided attention. What's interesting here is that Florida (site of the other botched primary) is not. According to the Washington Post's 2008 Campaign Tracker, the Illinois senator has made 10 campaign stops on two separate swings through the Great Lakes State since mid-May--far more than any other non-primary state--versus only six in Florida (on a single trip). What's more, the Michigan events included Obama's two biggest endorsements to date: John Edwards on May 14 in Grand Rapids, and now Gore (whose backing, as Ben Smith notes, "might have had more symbolic resonance [in] Florida.")

Obama is obsessed with Michigan because, unlike Florida, it's a must-win state--and winning there is hardly a sure thing at this point. In Tropicana country, Obama currently trails McCain by an average of 8.3 points. That's a difficult hill to climb, which is why Obama campaign manager David Plouffe has designed his boss's electoral strategy around losing Florida (like John Kerry) in November. The problem is, Obama can't afford to drop Michigan's 17 electoral votes (which Kerry won) as well. Recent Michigan polls are rare, but the three taken since May 19 show McCain with an average lead of 1.6 percent. Why so close? Democratic divisions. In Rasmussen's national polling, Obama and McCain earn identical levels of support from members of their own parties: 81 percent of Dems back Obama and 83 percent of Republicans back McCain. But the latest Rasmussen poll in Michigan shows that while McCain's local GOP support matches his national number--83 percent--Obama's support among state Democrats falls seven points to 74 percent. Those defectors--perhaps former Clintonites dissatisfied with how Michigan's controversial delegate clash was resolved--are enough to keep McCain in contention.

With that in mind, expect Obama to make Michigan a major focus of his fall travel plans. And expect the candidate--and even the Goracle itself--to continue pushing the party-unity argument unveiled by the former veep last night. “Looking back over the last eight years, I can tell you that we have already learned one important fact,” he said. “Take it from me, elections matter."

Translation: Now's your chance to right the wrongs of 2000. Don't blow it. We'll see in November whether Gore's message is more compelling than his timing.
 

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Member Comments

Posted By: Jayski32 (June 25, 2008 at 11:12 AM)

Obama's Real Michigan Problem:

Hillary has nothing to do with Obama's poor showing thsu far in Michigan. There is a segment of voters in the metro detroit area who already had there heart swept up by the promises of a young, well spoken, African American candidate who promised change to the voters who desparately desired it. That candidate was Kwame Kilpatrick, and instead of change the voters received yet another decade of corruption and embarrasement on the national stage. There is a segment of the population, and I am not saying they are correct in thinking so, who have taken a "I won't be fooled again" approach to Obama.

If Obama wants to win Michigan he needs to publicly distance himself from the Mayor of Detroit. Unfortunately the Mayor's Mom is a powerful Congressman and I doubt it will happen. Michigan is a toss up state, come this November and the Mayor of Detroit is the reason why.


Posted By: Ganpat (June 19, 2008 at 11:11 AM)

Gore remains a significant figure in shaping US and world opinion about serious issues just because he does not jump on the cheap passing bandwagons like Newsweek's journalist hucksters have done with the Obama swindle.

Gore waited with dignity until an endorsement of the man the Part chose was unavoidable for a senior Democrat.

Well done.

When Obam is a busted joke, Gore will be there - serious, substantial, and - to tawdry people - boring.


Posted By: Mwalimu (June 18, 2008 at 8:46 AM)

    The Gore-Snore. I remember 2000. It was Gore's a bore, Gore's a snore. Even then, Gore won the popular vote and the election was decided by an electoral college fiat. As a result, we have had 8 years of an endless nightmare. Now, are we ready for 8 years of the same nightmare - only 50 times worse. I need to remind everyone of ONE inconvenient truth. Scientists predict that by 2012 we'll lose all of the polar ice. That will have catastrophic effects on our climate. We cannot afford to blow this election. We need to get beyond the Gore-snore's-a-bore or everyone on the planet loses big time.