Katie Connolly
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Jun 10, 2009 09:57 AM
For months, Creigh Deeds trailed his two better funded, media magnet opponents in the Democratic gubernatorial primary in Virginia. Last night he trounced both of them, winning with 50 percent of the vote. Former DNC Chairman and Chair of Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign Terry McAuliffe and Virginia House of Delegates member Brian Moran trailed badly, with 26 and 24 percent of the vote respectively. Polls had shown Deeds closing the gap in the final days of the campaign, but few pundits expected such large, wide-ranging success for the moderate state delegate who until recently struggled for name recognition in a field including Moran and press drawcard McAuliffe. McAuliffe's campaign told reporters they thought it would come down to the wire. Instead, Deeds won a stunning statewide victory, winning 10 out of 11 congressional disctricts and even capturing one held by Moran's brother Jim.
Political reporters like to search for broader national meaning in these between cycle races. As newly purple state that fell for Obama's charms in 2008, Virginia is a particularly juicy target for electoral speculation. What does the result mean for the 2010 Congressional cycle? What does it indicate about Obama's coattails? The answers to these questions are both elusive and mercurial. And Virginia's politics, which encompass both liberal beltway types and conservative Southerners, are unique and idiosyncratic, so searching for national meaning can be a process of creative interpretation. But perhaps one lesson to be drawn here is that in the current political climate, once again, presumptive candidates have given voters pause. McAuliffe has been a presence on the national political scene for many years. He was the state equivalent of a fundraising juggernaut, raising $6.9 million to Deeds' $3.8 million. He dominated in terms of advertising and media coverage, his colorful personality and political prominence proving an irresistible lure to reporters. And he had some star power up his sleeve - a pal of both Clintons, McAuliffe benefitted from several swings through the state by the former President.
Is any of this sounding a bit familiar? An establishment candidate in a Democratic primary is presumed to be a shoe in, only to be upstaged by an opponent lacking lacking history and connections? Arguing that the result is a further rejection of the Clintons is a bridge too far, but it's plausible to believe that voters have maintained the same wariness of insider political power that helped propel Obama to victory. Virginia voters demanded compelling arguments for representation, not simply a polished political CV. Perhaps that's one lesson from this race that can be extrapolated nationally.