*Maybe. I just came back from a screening of "Atonement" (Dec. 7). It's everything you could want in a best picture. It's grand, epic, one of the best love stories since "Titanic." You leave the theater feeling tingly inside. Keira Knightley, in a remarkably understated performance, should get her second best actress nomination. James McAvoy is good, too, though the Academy tends to overlook younger actors (Joseph Fiennes, Leonardo DiCaprio) in romances. It's still early in the season, and I haven't seen everything yet. But "Atonement," like "Shakespeare in Love," could lead all nominees. It's got a shot at best director, actress, adapted screenplay, costume, editing, cinematography, original score and maybe a supporting actress (Romola Garai is brilliant) or two (Vanessa Redgrave).
Update: Someone has started a Facebook group, trying to help Romola Garai get an Oscar nomination. OK, so it only has 24 members so far, and none of them look like members of the Academy. But no one else has a Facebook campaign ... yet.