Archives » Wednesday, January 02, 2008
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 11:14 PM
As I promised on OTB Radio tonight, here are my predictions for 2008 to go along with James’ and Dave’s, some of which may actually come true, though I’m not sure I’d bet on that.
U.S. Politics:
Barack Obama will win the Democratic nomination, and proceed to defeat John McCain in the general election.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 09:29 PM
Watching America features a superb piece translated from Urdu from the Pakistani paper, Nawaiwaqt: Pakistani Democracy May Depend on U.S. Election.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 09:28 PM
Found this interesting, Dodd says he won't cut viability deals at the Iowa caucus, because the people working for him put in their sweat to work for him, not someone else:
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 08:27 PM
If Mike Huckabee loses in the Iowa caucuses it’ll be partially because of this:
Rush Limbaugh devoted a large portion of his first show since the holidays to criticizing Mike Huckabee’s candidacy and offering a disapproving bottom-line assessment of the former governor.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 07:59 PM
South Carolina Republican Party Chairman Katon Dawson weighed in Sunday on the media’s involvement in the presidential primary process and expressed his frustration with talking head shouting matches, predictions and polls.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 07:14 PM
Joe Gandelman reports on an email that he, myself, and presumably several others have gotten, twice, in recent days promising a shocking revelation against some unknown candidate to be revealed Monday, on the eve of the New Hampshire primary.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 06:55 PM
These numbers are consistent with earlier stats, but it is wonderful to see them re-affirmed so late in the game by the new UNH poll. The Granite State's sizable percentage of independent voters plan on voting for a Democrat by a two to one margin.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 06:43 PM
Desperate not to become an embarrassing footnote in our primary next Tuesday, Rudy! went Rove in Somersworth and decided the best way up is war, war, forevermore. And in an equally transparent move to grasp for air against the rising McCain, he's labeling his call for more troops in Afghanistan a "surge".
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 06:16 PM
Some CapQ readers have pointed to the latest numbers from Zogby in Iowa as a harbinger of a Fred Thompson surprise for tomorrow's caucuses.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 04:50 PM
My OTB colleague Dave Schuler made his 2008 predictions on New Year’s Eve but I’ve decided to wait until the first official work day of the year to get a better sense of the lay of the land.
U.S. Politics:
The Republicans will eventually nominate someone, pundit chatter about a divided base notwithstanding.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 04:34 PM
I’ll admit these are pretty bold predictions, but here is what I think the totals will look like in tomorrow’s Iowa caucus:
REPUBLICANS
Mike Huckabee - 33%
Mitt Romney - 23%
John McCain - 15%
Fred Thompson - 9%
Ron Paul - 8%
Rudy Giuliani - 5%
Duncan Hunter - 3%
DEMOCRATS
Hillary Clinton - 31%
John Edwards - 28%
Barack Obama - 27%
Bill Richardson - 6%
Joe Biden - 3%read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 04:01 PM
Steven Taylor has put up his first GOP edition of the Toast-O-Meter for 2008, just in time for the Iowa Caucuses.
One — if not both — of the candidates he has listed as “Toast” may surprise you. His “Burnt Toast” choice isn’t particularly surprising but will likely draw more comments.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 03:00 PM
For the second time we’ve gotten an email that says it comes from a spokesman for Revelation Press about a major announcement that’ll be made in Washington on MONDAY about a candidate running in the New Hampshire primary..one DAY before the vote there — seemingly a CLASSIC case of leveling an eleventh hour charge so a candidate doesn’t fully have time to answer it.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 02:07 PM
I guess that “major announcement” from the campaign of Sen. Barack Obama turned out to be, well, kind of major. At a news conference on the University of South Carolina campus in Columbia, former South Carolina Governor Jim Hodges formally endorsed Obama.
His endorsement of the Illinois senator comes less than a month before the Democratic primary January 26.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 01:20 PM
The percentage of Americans identifying as Republican has increased while support for Democrats has dropped off, Rasmussen reports.
The number of Americans who consider themselves to be Republicans jumped nearly two percentage points in December to 34.2%. That’s the largest market share for the Republican brand in nearly two years, since January 2006 (see history from January 2004 to present).read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 01:08 PM
Columnist Robert Novak, in his newsletter, is now calling it for Iowa: former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney for the Republicans and Senator Barack Obama for the Democrats — and Hillary Clinton third behind Obama and Senator John Edwards.
This is a topsy-turvy election season when polls resemble see saws used by hyperactive schoolkids, but Novak offers a detailed analysis. Some highlights:read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 12:52 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXcnmODCRbc
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 12:32 PM
Cogitamus provides some much needed political humour that’s actually funny, rendering the GOP Primary Field in Buffy Villains. They won’t make much sense to non-fans, but most are pretty spot on if one knows the players.
In the interest of bipartisanship, the good folks at Whedonesque offer up a few Democrat-BtVS Villain equivalents, including this one that absolutely nails it:
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 12:22 PM
His campaign chairman wanted to knock out Mitt Romney’s teeth, but Mike Huckabee decided to turn the other cheek.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 12:16 PM
Steve Benen mentions an interesting tidbit about the anti-Romney ad that Mike Huckabee doesn’t have the money to run on TV “refuses to run on principle”. Apparently, the ad criticizes Mitt Romney for the lack of executions in Massachusetts during Romney’s gubernatorial terms. As Benen points out:
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 12:05 PM
The mainstream news media tends to discount bloggers, especially in the electoral process, as biased shills who either deliberately or cluelessly wind up doing promotional work for parties and candidates.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 11:45 AM
Steve Benen mentions an interesting tidbit about the anti-Romney ad that Mike Huckabee doesn’t have the money to run on TV “refuses to run on principle”. Apparently, the ad criticizes Mitt Romney for the lack of executions in Massachusetts during Romney’s gubernatorial terms. As Benen points out:
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 11:43 AM
Earlier this morning, I conducted an interview with Governor Mike Huckabee regarding criticism of his ad pull in Iowa and the press conference that followed. The interview got arranged after last night's blogger conference call, when Huckabee's team wanted to allow for a clear answer to the controversy.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 11:33 AM
Dan Hoover at the Greenville News is reporting that the campaign of presidential candidate Barack Obama will make a “major announcement” today at 1 p.m. in Columbia at the University of South Carolina’s Wardlaw College.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 11:16 AM
Those are the words a prominent cable industry political reporter, Ted Hearn, used to describe the core criteria for “stories that claim a financial quid pro quo.” He then concluded that at least one element of a recent WaPo story on John McCain “had just the bull.”
Hearn summarizes his dispute with the WaPo (and other media reporting similar allegations) as follows:
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 10:05 AM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bce2rev5mq8
A day after the presidential campaign of Sen. John McCain released a web-only attack ad (above) targeting rival Mitt Romney’s assertions that the next president doesn’t need foreign policy experience, Sen. Lindsey Graham (McCain’s SC co-chair) issued a congruent statement refuting Romney:
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 09:45 AM
Mike Huckabee went on Hannity & Colmes to try and beat down the alleged controversy he caused by showing a group of reporters an attack ad on Romney that he had made but then decided not to run because he’s so pure—though he played it for them anyway—so he could say he didn’t—
“If a [...]
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 09:40 AM
Mitt Romney apparently got caught not taking his own advice yesterday. While the New York Times quotes Romney as scolding Mike Huckabee for criticizing George Bush in a December essay for the Council on Foreign Relations, Reuters has Romney doing much the same thing at another venue. First, the Times quotes Romney in central Iowa: Mitt Romney was in central Iowa, where he went after Mr.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 09:29 AM
I spent the holidays in Central Florida, where the only signs of life political life were a Huckabee for President sign propped up on a John Deere tractor, Rudy Giuliani's 9/11 TV ads and Ron Paul's blimp flying over Orlando. Before leaving for the airport yesterday, I watched Tom Brokaw's talk on his book, "Boom!read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 09:13 AM
Dennis Kucinich has bequeathed his political support in Iowa to Barack Obama, in the case of his political demise in the caucuses. The perennial also-ran told his supporters that they should caucus for Obama if he fails to win enough support to pass the viability test. And while Kucinich may not have numerical support, he still retains influence among the MoveOn crowd.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 09:05 AM
John Edwards called yesterday for an withdrawal of American trainers from Iraq as part of a near-total withdrawal by next fall.
John Edwards says that if elected president he would withdraw the American troops who are training the Iraqi army and police as part of a broader plan to remove virtually all American forces within 10 months.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 08:17 AM
John McCain’s website tells visitors, “Too often the special interest lobbyists with the fattest wallets and best access carry the day.” It sounds like a compelling sentiment from a one-time reformer, and might even be impressive, just so long as you don’t peek behind the curtain.
Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) took a break from the presidential [...]
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 08:17 AM
Dennis Kucinich has asked his supporters in Iowa to caucus for Barack Obama if (as expected) he himself is not viable after the first round of balloting.
Representative Dennis Kucinich urged his Iowa followers today to select Senator Barack Obama as their second choice at the caucuses on Thursday if his support is not strong enough to be viable in the 1,781 precincts across the state.
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 07:07 AM
Surveys in 2006 saw an erosion in Republican Party affiliation that opened the gap between the major parties from 1.6% to over 6%, favoring Democrats, by the end of the year. Twelve months later, the performance of the Democrats while controlling Congress has almost completely reversed the trend.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 05:33 AM
A year ago today, back when a surge was something that you didn’t want to fry your computer, extraordinary rendition was a stirring playing of Beethoven’s 9th Symphony, people thought FISA was the federal agency that protected their bank deposits and a Huckabee was a . . . something or other, I posed a couple of questions:
Can we survive two more years of a Bush presidency?
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 05:33 AM
A year ago today, back when a surge was something that you didn’t want to fry your computer, extraordinary rendition was a stirring playing of Beethoven’s 9th Symphony, people thought FISA was the federal agency that protected their bank deposits and a Huckabee was a . . . something or other, I posed a couple of questions:
Can we survive two more years of a Bush presidency?
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 03:09 AM
I usually prefer to draw attention to the translations on Watching America to the articles that are originally written in English and therefore just linked the site… but last week I got a bit excited about an article from the British press about the U.S. election, which was replete with British irreverence and cynicism.read more
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Anonymous
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Jan 2, 2008 12:32 AM
A major flap has broken out in Iowa race over a poll that shows Democratic Senator Barack Obama picking up support and overtaking Senator Hillary Clinton — and the Clinton camp is crying “NO DICE!” because, it argues, the poll puts far too much weight on independent voters.
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