Yesterday afternoon I drove over to Indianapolis from Cincinnati to volunteer for the Clinton campaign. I lived in Indianapolis from 1979-2000 and therefore know my way around fairly well.

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Ouch.

Paul Krugman says an Obama ad attacking Hillary on gas tax relief misrepresents what he said.

I did not say that the Clinton proposal would increase oil industry profits. If the ad implies that I did, it should be retracted.

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A new AP-Ipsos national poll has just been released. Hillary has some serious momentum happening.

Clinton (47%) Overtakes Obama (40%) Nationally On Eve of Indiana And North Carolina Primaries ; Poll Shows Clinton Campaign Picking Up Steam With Democrats Nationally

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Hillary:

* 2:30 p.m., Appearance in Merrillville, IN.
* 7:30 p.m., Rally in New Albany, IN.
* 9:45 p.m., Rally in Evansville, IN.

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“God wants me to be president,” George W. Bush told fellow believers before 2000. If the rest of us had known His intentions, we would have started building an ark.

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  The headline on Bill Kristol’s NYT column today reads, “McCain-Jindal?” It suggests to the reader that the column is about John McCain considering

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A new Ipsos poll gives Senator Hillary Clinton a substantial national lead as the favorite among Democrats over her rival for the Democratic Presidential nomination Senator Barack Obama:

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A new Insider Advantage poll from North Carolina was released this afternoon. It was taken yesterday and shows Hillary and Barack Obama in a statistical dead heat: Obama 48%, Hillary 45%. Undecided: 7%.

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On the eve of critical primaries in North Carolina and Indiana, yet another pollster shows a significant shift in support among Democrats nationwide to Hillary Clinton. […] Read the rest »

The question of whether the Democrats are shooting themselves in the foot with the race issue is being hotly debated on both sides of the Atlantic.

Antoine Maurice writes for Switzerland’s Tribune De Geneve:

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Yesterday, both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton spoke at a Jefferson-Jackson Dinner sponsored by the Indiana Democrats. As it turns out, this is merely one of many Jefferson-Jackson dinners attended by the candidates.

I am shocked and outraged.

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Both Matthew Yglesias and John Cole agree that the Obama/Clinton proposal to tax the “windfall profits” of the oil companies is a bad idea, and you’ll get no argument from me.

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Steve Chapman wonders if John McCain should be so quick to judge Barack Obama for his association with Bill Ayers, given McCain’s own associations with G. Gordon Liddy.

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Sad and surreal: Earlier this week, Hillary Clinton told an Indiana crowd, “I hope that everybody will go to the [Kentucky] derby on Saturday and place just a little money on the filly for me. I won’t be able to be there this year — my daughter is going to be there and so she has strict instructions to bet on Eight Belles.”

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Senator Obama has joined Senators Norm Coleman (R-Neb Minn) and Carl Levin (D-Mich) to introduce the “Incorporation Transparency and Law Enforcement Assistance Act”.

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Obama: politics of change, hope and unity? Check out his new ad attacking Hillary Clinton airing today on television called "Hometown."

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The gas tax holiday which many experts and politicians say is an ineffective idea and could make things worse is now forefront in the battle between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama for votes

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The final SUSA NC poll is out, Obama by 5, 50-45.

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Update: The new SUSA poll out today confirms that delegate-wise, North Carolina is pretty meaningless:

There is no foreseeable outcome in North Carolina, regardless of which candidate wins the popular vote, where one candidate collects significantly more convention delegates than the o

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North Carolina: Obama by 9
Indiana: Clinton by 5

I have a feeling that the momentum is turning back in Obama’s favor after a few good weeks for Clinton.

There is still no scenario beyond the destruction of the Democratic party that leads to a Clinton nomination.

While tomorrow may be up in the air, the May 13 West Virginia primary is not in doubt. Ras sez Clinton by 29, 56-27.

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I begin to believe that “McSame” is not the right appellation for John McCain…he so clearly aspires to be “McWorse”.

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PPP's Final NC poll has Obama up 10, 53-43. The key data: Clinton wins whites 62-35 (61% of the vote). Obama win African Americans 84-11 (35% of the vote).

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The Suffolk University Poll for Indiana taken over the weekend has Hillary 49, Obama 43. Six percent are still undecided.

Suffolk says:

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The final SUSA Indiana poll has Hillary Clinton winning by 12, 54-42.

Key findings: Clinton wins whites 58-39 (87% of the vote, Obama wins African Americans 77-21 (10% of the vote).

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One day away from the pivotal North Carolina and Indiana Democratic presidential primaries, the polls again aren’t quite in agreement — suggesting that unless there is some big surprise the race Wednesday morning could well be exactly where it is now.

If there is a trend in this latest batch of of national and primary state polls, it is this: the race is TIGHTENING.

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Garin's answer to my question here.

During the Clinton Press Call, I asked about the magic number:

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This morning's Clinton conference call is all about setting expectations.

Clinton says a month ago, the RCP average for Indiana Obama led by 7 points. "That is his baseline" argues Geoff Garin. Clinton will do better than that. In North Carolina, In North Carolina, RCP average Obama led by close to 20 points. Clinton will do better than that.

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