(BTD) The NC exits. Obama wins. Whites (63%) go Clinton by 59-36 (5% missing?). African Americans (33%) go Obama by 93-7.

4% of the vote is missing from this exit poll. Right now it shows 55-39.

CNN calls North Carolina for Obama as soon as the polls closed. I'm still following Indiana, as i think that's the more important state for Hillary Clinton, but I'll post results here. You can keep each other updated in comments.

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(BTD) - The Indiana exit polls are up. I'll blog about them here.

Clinton won (45%) Men 51-49, (55%) Women 53-47, Whites (81%) 60-40. Lost African Americans (15%) 8-92. According to this, Clinton won Indiana by 4.

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ABC News says that based on exit polling it is calling the North Carolina primary for Senator Barack Obama — amid increasing signs that the Democratic party may be gravely split so many voters will stay home whether Obama gets the Presidential nomination or his rival, Senator Hillary Clinton, does.

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The first polls have closed in Indiana. The rest close in one hour. Maps are here.

I'll put the first returns here, along with new exit polling data.

Indiana Clinton, Hillary
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I asked this morning how our expectations will change throughout the day as we hear from anchors, surrogates and pundits. Your early predictions are here. What do you say now? Let's hear your afternoon predictions for both states, with point spreads.

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The Obama camp wants you to believe this election boils down to pledged delegates. It does not. It comes down to the superdelegates.

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In case you missed it, here’s what Hillary had to say about her idiotic gas-tax holiday proposal on ABC’s This Week:

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Indianapolis Star ELECTION2008:

A Couple of Snippets…

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Andrew Sullivan fears that, whatever the outcome of tonight’s primaries, the press will frame it as about race.

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Bloomberg’s Catherine Dodge wins line of the day honors for her lede, “Never before have two presidential campaigns staked so much on 18.4 cents.”

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You gotta love the newly all important Obama surrogate Joe Andrew. Sunday, just 2 days ago, he was giving a Joe Namath guarantee that Barack Obama would win Indiana.

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Hillary Clinton has no secret plan to seat the Florida and Michigan delegates. She's been totally transparent on her efforts to seat both delegations. Here's her plan, according to her campaign on May 4:

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Looking at projections, exit polls and results is easier for me with a map. Election results usually come in by county. It's hard to find county maps with the major cities on them. So, I made one for Indiana.

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Political Wire:

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Uh-oh. […] Read the rest »

What do you have when you have two intelligent people who are married to one another and are suddenly in the White House and it’s 2008 not 1778?

I think you have some amalgamation of at least a president and a half, if not a dual presidency.

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Conservative talk show host Rush Limbaugh has urged his Republican listeners to vote for Senator Hillary Clinton in today’s Indiana primary, pointing to what he said is a double standard when it comes to cross-over voters, the Boston Globe reports — and another newspaper reports sign

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We’ve seen our last First Lady of a certain kind. Genteel, always attempting to be background instead of foreground or middle ground.

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It is the time of day for the standard "turnout is heavy" stories. Political Wire has two:

Turnout Very Heavy

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Everything published in and by The Weekly Standard about the Democratic presidential race seems to contain an ulterior motive or two — and that goes for Krazy Kristol and his NYT columns, too — but sometimes, those times being rare, it manages to hit on the truth whether it inten

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Earlier today, I predicted a four-point win for Barack Obama in North Carolina, but compared to the Hillary Clinton campaign, I’m an eternal optimist. […] Read the rest »

Below I wrote that Barack Obama can win the nomination today by sweeping North Carolina and Indiana. But the reality is Obama can not lose in North Carolina. If he does, then he is in serious serious trouble. Why?

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As we're following the news, I wonder how our expectations will change throughout the day as we hear from anchors, surrogates and pundits. Let's hear your early predictions for both states, with point spreads, and then we'll do another this mid-afternoon and this evening.

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Terry McCauliffe was on Fox News this morning with Bill Hemmer. Hemmer said word is from Drudge that Clinton advisors say Obama will take N.C. by 15 points. He asked Terry if he's hearing those numbers and if he thinks Hillary can win that state. McCauliffe said he's never spoken to Drudge in his life and he hasn't heard those numbers.

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Update (9:50 am MT): George Stephanopoulous on the campaigns' predictions:

Obama's supporters suggested to Stephanopoulos that Clinton would win in Indiana by as much as eight points, and Clinton's camp hinted that Obama would win by as much as 10 points in North Carolina.

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John McCain gave a speech today on the critical nature of judicial appointments not just to the presidential election, but to the balance of power and the restraint of federal government. […] Read the rest »

Voters in Indiana and North Carolina go to the polls today having far more impact on the race than anyone would have thought possible four months ago. If Barack Obama wins both states, even narrowly, it will be difficult for Hillary Clinton to justify staying in the race.

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Yesterday, on the Clinton Media call, I asked if the Clinton campaign agreed that that Magic Number for securing the nomination was 2025, or did it believe that the Magic Number must include the MI/FL delegations, which would make the magic number 2209.

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If Barack Obama wins Indiana and North Carolina today, he will effectively end the contest for the Democratic nomination. John Zogby is making his play for relevance by predicting that Obama will indeed do that. The pundit Zogby again stands out as predicting Obama will win Indiana by 2 and North Carolina by 14.

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The final Zogby daily tracking poll gives Democratic Senator Barack Obama a wider lead in his battle with Senator Hillary Clinton in the North Carolina Democratic Presidential primary — but the primary in Indiana remains too close to call:

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E.J. […] Read the rest »

In two words — combat and composure — the NYT’s David Brooks says a lot about the fundamental difference between Clinton and Obama.

Excerpts:

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In the quest for justice for Sean Bell, the Rev. Al Sharpton will launch a months-long civil disobedience campaign. Sharpton said:

If you’re not going to lock up the guilty in this town, then I guess you’re going to have to lock up the innocent.

In an email message to supporters, Sharpton wrote:

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Voters in Indiana and North Carolina go to the polls today having far more impact on the race than anyone would have thought possible four months ago. If Barack Obama wins both states, even narrowly, it will be difficult for Hillary Clinton to justify staying in the race.

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Hey, pal — you want scenarios? […] Read the rest »

Happy as the Republicans may be with their recent voter ID victories, they might want to rethink their strategy in light of yesterdays news that more than 3.5 million new

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John McCain has a tough tightwire act to perform in this year’s election He has to find ways to reach out to conservatives while maintaining his credentials as an independent thinker if he wants to win the Presidency in a year which history indicates would normally produce a party change in the White House.

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For all the talk regarding the necessity of winning the “blue collar” vote, our presidential candidates continue to show a puzzling lack of understanding when it comes to working class America.

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Didn’t this become out of fashion a few years ago? A majority of Americans now support same-sex unions, but the PA Senate is still pursuing an absolute ban despite the fact that it’s already illegal. Hello McFly!? Doesn’t the Senate have anything better to do?

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