Newsweek - National News, World News, Health, Technology, Entertainment and more... | Newsweek.com

Wealth of Nations

SPONSORED BY
  • Eliot Spitzer on the Cuomo Report: Serve Subpoenas

    Katie Paul | Jul 30, 2009 05:50 PM

    You might have heard about a little report from New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo this morning. With all the subtlety of a sledgehammer--it's titled No Rhyme or Reason: The 'Heads I Win, Tails You Lose' Bank Bonus Culture, for chrissakes--it gives the most detailed accounting to date of the Wall Street bonus fiasco, showing that, as they were losing billions, a whopping 4,793 lucky folks took home bonuses of $1 million or more last year.

    It's grist for the rage mill, to be sure, but is it a game changer? To find out, I checked in with another man making noise about regulation these days: Eliot Spitzer, once known as "Lord High Executioner" among the Wall Street crowd. Here's what he had to say about the matter:

    So I take it you’ve heard about this Cuomo report?
    Is that the one about the poor investment bankers struggling to pay their bills?

    That’s it. It’s a sad tale.
    Yeah, like Dickens.

    My basic question is: after all this, why is it still so hard to regulate these guys?
    Setting pay is a quintessential private sector activity. The question is, how do you do it properly and fairly? Whose voice should be heard? Take the public bailout out of the equation for a moment, because let’s hope that’s not a permanent fixture. These are bigger issues. Why have compensation committees failed so utterly? Why have shareholders never been able to reign this in?

    [MORE AFTER THE JUMP]

    More
  • Iran's Real Problem -- The Economy

    Rana Foroohar | Jul 30, 2009 04:01 PM

    Political infighting in Iran heated up yesterday when some of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s conservative supporters warned him that he might not get a second term in office if he doesn’t start towing the line. The warnings came off the back of a tiff over the last couple of weeks between Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Ahmadinejad, in which the former warned the president to get rid of his right hand man, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaie, who was perceived as being a bit too friendly towards Israel. The president ultimately bagged his number two, but only after taking his own sweet time – a slight to Khamenei.

     

    While the conflict is portrayed as a relatively recent event off the back of the election turmoil, the fact is that Ahmadinejad has been increasingly on the outs with conservatives in Iran for many months now, and not because of Israel but because of the economy, which he has notoriously mismanaged. His ill-thought out energy and monetary policies as well as runaway public subsidies have resulted in double digit inflation, rising unemployment, and blackouts. Under Ahmadinejad’s watch (and the highest oil prices in decades) the country has become a net gas importer, despite its vast natural resource wealth.

     

    A faltering economy was a key issue in the June 12th elections, but the problems go back farther than that. In January, as the price of oil was falling, the Supreme Leader announced that Iran’s new five year development plan, set to come into effect next year, would funnel 20 percent of the country’s oil and gas revenues into a new development fund separate from the Oil Stabilization Fund, which, according to many analysts, Ahmadinejad has plundered wildly. “There should be tens of billions of dollars left in the fund, and it’s not at all clear that there are,” says Alireza Nader, an Iran analyst at the RAND Corporation. “What is clear is that Ahmadinejad gave a lot of the oil money earned in the boom days to friends in the Revolutionary Guard, and to companies started by former Guard officers, often in the form of loans and no-bid state contracts.” RAND estimates that such companies, while typically corrupt and inefficient, are now the biggest economic players in Iran, with far-reaching influence in key sectors like manufacturing, construction, and banking.

     

    Analysts inside and outside of Iran say that the creation of the separate fund is proof that the Supreme Leader was beginning to sideline the President, or at least stop him from wreaking more economic havoc, months ago. Now, the political fault lines in Tehran are growing ever more apparent, and that will likely make the country even tougher to govern in the coming months. The implication for markets, according to Eurasia Group Director Cliff Kupchan is “an even further reduced chance that diplomacy with the U.S. will be successful.” That means investors will be less likely to want to put much needed investment into Iran, and that could further destabilize the economy, regional trade, and possibly even oil exports. If that happens, the effects would reach far beyond Tehran.


  • Advertisement
  • Tony Blair for European President

    William Underhill | Jul 30, 2009 12:00 PM
    As Britain's prime minister, Tony Blair made plenty of enemies in Europe. Back in 2003, he broke ranks by siding with America over the Iraq War. And despite his avowed enthusiasm for the EU, he showed little practical commitment to closer integration. So why is Blair now a frontrunner for European president, a post that will be created if the Irish ratify the Lisbon Treaty this fall? The British government has given him its support. Italy is keen, too. Even France and Germany seem ready to accept a British president.

    Blair's new popularity lies in a changing Europe. In the past, the EU has filled top posts with mediocre candidates, chosen after months of horse-trading between member states. But the new president will be Europe's chief spokesman and mediator, and will need all the charisma that Blair exudes. Besides, Blair has some handy credentials: He speaks French. He's a socialist--a useful gesture to the left--yet his pro-market sympathies mean he won't offend conservatives. Paradoxically, his strongest qualification could be his nationality. How better to allay British skepticism of Europe than by putting a Brit at its head?


  • WHO Loses Count of Swine Flu Cases

    Newsweek | Jul 30, 2009 09:00 AM


    Cathal McNaughton/Reuters-Landov
    A pig farmer in Ireland.

    By Andrew Bast

    During swine flu’s first months, the World Health Organization broke down the numbers of new cases by country to show where the virus was spreading. Then, in July, the WHO quietly announced that it was abandoning its count. While this may seem alarming, counting cases has long been counterintuitive. The problem with an exploding epidemic—Britain’s chief medical officer says 100,000 people caught the swine flu in a week—is that the resources it takes to count it grow just as fast. “You can’t devote . . . resources to just surveillance,” says Marc Lipsitch, a Harvard professor of epidemiology. So what can authorities do? Track trends—specifically, how the virus is mutating (U.S. officials recently spotted young swine-flu patients having seizures). By last Friday, the pandemic had spread to nearly every country. From now on, understanding swine flu no longer means asking how many. But instead, what kind?